Yes position
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $39.08
- Potential payout
- $96.49
- Potential profit
- $57.41
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- -$4.34
Polymarket Trader
0xa078...82aa
0xa078925413c91788e30a0c07e86e0852723682aa
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $160.48
- Realized PnL
- -$53.91
- Win rate
- 41.7%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $15.89
- Potential payout
- $70.63
- Potential profit
- $54.74
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- $3.18
No position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 74.8%
- Current value
- $38.78
- Potential payout
- $51.84
- Potential profit
- $13.06
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $0.62
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.6%
- Current value
- $33.87
- Potential payout
- $43.68
- Potential profit
- $9.81
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $18.94
Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.1%
- Current value
- $1.74
- Potential payout
- $34.53
- Potential profit
- $32.79
- Multiplier
- 19.80x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $27.4
- Potential payout
- $32.81
- Potential profit
- $5.41
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 18.6%
- Current value
- $3.72
- Potential payout
- $20.06
- Potential profit
- $16.34
- Multiplier
- 5.39x
- User PnL
- -$1.65
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- $1.02
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.79
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 14.3%
- Multiplier
- 7.02x
- User PnL
- $0.76
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $0.59
No position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 85.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 25.3%
- Multiplier
- 3.96x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- -$0.43
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 40.8%
- Multiplier
- 2.45x
- User PnL
- -$0.92
No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.45x
- User PnL
- -$3.62
No position
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$18.57
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$33.52
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 11.9% 13.98 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 39.8% 41.28 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 39.6% 67.99 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 37.9% 56.21 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes 19% 24.17 shares
- Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 5.1% 70.92 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 31?No 4.3% 49.06 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 31?No 4% 63.47 shares
- Will Trump visit China by June 30?No 4% 66.81 shares
- Will Trump visit China by June 30?No 16% 140.82 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 26.8% 98.4 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 34.2% 82.05 shares