Polymarket Trader

mytothemoon

0xa07ddb63b8ad20854f59fd10ebf126b41c9f9871

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $13.06K
Realized PnL: $40.31K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $1.14K
Potential payout: $50.56K
Potential profit: $49.42K
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: -$24.17

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.9%
Current value: $2.74K
Potential payout: $21.29K
Potential profit: $18.55K
Multiplier: 7.78x
User PnL: $415.17

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 8.2%
Current value: $1.63K
Potential payout: $20.01K
Potential profit: $18.38K
Multiplier: 12.27x
User PnL: -$378.37

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $2.35K
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $17.65K
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: $490

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $784.05
Potential payout: $19.85K
Potential profit: $19.07K
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$29.77

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $2.42K
Potential payout: $11.27K
Potential profit: $8.85K
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $976.37

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $544.91
Potential payout: $10.79K
Potential profit: $10.25K
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: $71.42

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.8%
Current value: $1.38K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $8.63K
Multiplier: 7.27x
User PnL: -$75

Yes position

Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1.35
Potential payout: $2.7K
Potential profit: $2.7K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$146.85

Over position

Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $999.99
User PnL: -$460

Portugal position

Spread: Portugal (-2.5)

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $999.99
User PnL: -$280

No position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $67.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $432.5
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $27.5

Over position

Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$265

Over position

Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 4.5

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $499.99
User PnL: -$120

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $14.42
Potential payout: $36.51
Potential profit: $22.09
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: -$2.74

Resolved Context

Closed positions

T1 position

LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.57K

Nuggets position

Nuggets vs. Hawks

Ends Dec 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.95K

Yes position

Will the government shutdown end November 13?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.83K

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.61K

Yes position

Will Aston Villa win on 2025-11-23?

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.34K

Notre Dame Fighting Irish position

Spread: Houston Cougars (-10.5)

Ends Nov 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.28K

Shevchenko position

UFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.27K

Sharks position

Flames vs. Sharks

Ends Dec 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.93K

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: $1.93K

Germany position

Spread: Germany (-3.5)

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.67K

Germany position

Spread: Germany (-5.5)

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.67K

Van position

UFC 323: Pantoja vs. Van (Flyweight, Main Card)

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.34K

Stars position

Stars vs. Oilers

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.27K

Capitals position

Capitals vs. Islanders

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23K

Yes position

Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-11-25?

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23K

Blues position

Penguins vs. Blues

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.16K

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Pacers

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.11K

Timberwolves position

Clippers vs. Timberwolves

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1K

Indiana position

Spread: Indiana (-28.5)

Ends Nov 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06K

Blackhawks position

Ducks vs. Blackhawks

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04K

Utah position

Utah vs. Canucks

Ends Dec 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $950

Maple Leafs position

Maple Leafs vs. Ducks

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $940

Yes position

Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $937.31

Kraken position

Kraken vs. Kings

Ends Dec 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $910

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Spread: Colombia (-2.5)

Colombia 28% 999.98 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.3% 50,000 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 9.6% 6,354.03 shares
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 5.5

Over 1.8% 1,000 shares
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 3.5

Over 46% 185.18 shares
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?

Yes 4.1% 32.55 shares
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 3.5

Over 68% 425 shares
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 3.5

Over 60.1% 75 shares
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 3.5

Over 22% 500 shares
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 2.5

Over 98% 999.73 shares
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5

Over 99% 3,200 shares
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5

Over 38% 499.99 shares