No position
Major cyberattack on Iran in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40.21K
- Potential profit
- $40.21K
- User PnL
- -$378.37
Polymarket Trader
SanCristo
0xa07eb4287ba686a1575aa4724fb6e111e7527db6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $25.81
- Realized PnL
- $186.31
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $3.94
- Potential payout
- $7.87K
- Potential profit
- $7.87K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.8
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 13, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.6K
- Potential profit
- $7.6K
- User PnL
- -$125.13
Yes position
Will Marija Selak Raspudić be the next President of Croatia?
Ends Dec 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.22K
- Potential profit
- $7.22K
- User PnL
- -$44.33
No position
Will Israel strike Syria by September 15?
Ends Sep 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.9K
- Potential profit
- $6.9K
- User PnL
- -$20.7
Yes position
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $21.88
- Potential payout
- $6.25K
- Potential profit
- $6.23K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$3.13
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 14, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.5K
- Potential profit
- $3.5K
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Will Dragan Primorac be the next President of Croatia?
Ends Dec 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.38K
- Potential profit
- $2.38K
- User PnL
- -$127.37
Yes position
Biden diagnosed with prostate cancer while in office?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.27K
- Potential profit
- $2.27K
- User PnL
- -$51.22
No position
Will Zoran Milanović be the next President of Croatia?
Ends Dec 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.27K
- Potential profit
- $2.27K
- User PnL
- -$134.09
Yes position
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the first leader out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.03K
- Potential profit
- $1.03K
- User PnL
- -$34.32
Yes position
Will another person be the next President of Croatia?
Ends Dec 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$4.12
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $812.5
- Potential profit
- $812.5
- User PnL
- -$26
Yes position
Will Ivana Kekin be the next President of Croatia?
Ends Dec 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $474.89
- Potential profit
- $474.89
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 20?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $417.48
- Potential profit
- $417.48
- User PnL
- -$8.3
Yes position
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 19?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $317.93
- Potential profit
- $317.93
- User PnL
- -$6.23
Yes position
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by September 30?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $227.5
- Potential profit
- $227.5
- User PnL
- -$13.47
Yes position
Will Trump's approval rating be less than 45.0% on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $217.39
- Potential profit
- $217.39
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
50% tariff goes into effect on EU by July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $207.66
- Potential profit
- $207.66
- User PnL
- -$32.5
Yes position
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $198.69
- Potential profit
- $198.69
- User PnL
- -$38.05
Yes position
EU agrees use of Russian assets to fund Ukraine by December 19?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $189.25
- Potential profit
- $189.25
- User PnL
- -$46.57
No position
Will no US x Venezuela military engagement occur in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $187.63
- Potential profit
- $187.63
- User PnL
- -$30.02
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $109K and $111K on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $175.85
- Potential profit
- $175.85
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $173.91
- Potential profit
- $173.91
- User PnL
- -$4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Israel military action against Iran by Friday?
Ends Jun 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.71
Yes position
Elon out of Trump administration before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.9
Yes position
Israel military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.12
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.67
No position
Will Trump say "MAGA / Make America Great Again" this week?
Ends Jun 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.67
Yes position
Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.5
Yes position
Elon no longer world's richest before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.29
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 23, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 19, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Major cyberattack on Iran in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $107K and $109K on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.26
Yes position
Will Jerome Powell say "tariff" during December FOMC Press Conference?
Ends Dec 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom be the first leader out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.47
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 25, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.55
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.58
Yes position
US military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.59
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 24, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.6
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 18, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.64
Yes position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.86
Yes position
Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Tesla bot at Trump inauguration?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.11
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.15
Yes position
Israel x Iran ceasefire by Friday?
Ends Jun 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.17
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.1% 6,000 shares
- Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?Yes 2.3% 173.91 shares
- Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.2% 1,870 shares
- Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.4% 6,250 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Yes 3.2% 812.5 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes 0.4% 1,135 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes 0.6% 500 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes 4.5% 155.56 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes 3% 270.67 shares
- Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.3% 625 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes 5.1% 257.84 shares
- Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.6% 625 shares