Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.33K
- Potential profit
- $1.33K
- User PnL
- -$35.98
Polymarket Trader
Jan Sebastian
0xa0a4a6e94614e21cdd30f2fb7cccf91f948291ec
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $35.88
- Realized PnL
- $486.58
- Win rate
- 41.7%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Google One be #1 Grossing App in Play Store on December 19?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $966.91
- Potential profit
- $966.91
- User PnL
- -$16
Yes position
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.6%
- Current value
- $34.28
- Potential payout
- $745.31
- Potential profit
- $711.03
- Multiplier
- 21.74x
- User PnL
- -$65.6
No position
Will GameStop (GME) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $410.61
- Potential profit
- $410.61
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $1.59
- Potential payout
- $318.62
- Potential profit
- $317.03
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$14.41
No position
Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $312.86
- Potential profit
- $312.86
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Pope Leo XIV be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $102.13
- Potential profit
- $102.13
- User PnL
- -$48
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2024?
Ends May 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $328.93
Yes position
Will Taylor Swift be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year?
Ends Jan 14, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.55
Yes position
$WIF listed on Coinbase in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.33
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.53
No position
Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack?
Ends Dec 31, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.84
Yes position
[Single Market] Will Kamala Harris win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Aug 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.96
Yes position
Will any of the college presidents who testified on antisemitism leave by end of 2023?
Ends Dec 31, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.38
Yes position
Will another state court disqualify Trump from ballot by Jan 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12
No position
Will Circle IPO by June?
Ends Jun 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.78
No position
[Single Market] Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Aug 9, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
[Single Market] Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Sep 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.72
Yes position
Will Bradley Cooper win the Oscar for Best Actor?
Ends Mar 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Justine Triet win the Oscar for Best Director?
Ends Mar 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will 'Dune: Part Two' get a 90% or higher Tomatometer Score?
Ends Mar 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Danielle Brooks win the Oscar for Best Supporting Actress?
Ends Mar 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Paul Giamatti win the Oscar for Best Actor?
Ends Mar 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Sandra Hüller win the Oscar for Best Actress?
Ends Mar 9, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Venezuela invade Guyana in 2023?
Ends Dec 31, 2023- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will 'Dune: Part Two' gross under $70m opening weekend?
Ends Mar 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Martin Scorsese win the Oscar for Best Director?
Ends Mar 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Hamas surrender in 2023?
Ends Dec 31, 2023- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
GTA 6 release date by end of year?
Ends Dec 31, 2023- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Ryan Gosling win the Oscar for Best Supporting Actor?
Ends Mar 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?Yes 13.4% 745.31 shares
- Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?Yes 5% 318.62 shares
- Will Google One be #1 Grossing App in Play Store on December 19?No 1.7% 966.91 shares
- Will Pope Leo XIV be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?Yes 47% 102.13 shares
- Will GameStop (GME) beat quarterly earnings?No 12.2% 410.61 shares
- Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025?No 32% 312.86 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Yes 2.7% 1,332.59 shares
- Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?Yes 19.9% 50.25 shares
- Will Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope?Yes 6.5% 538.96 shares
- $WIF listed on Coinbase in 2024?Yes 18.9% 79.33 shares
- Will Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024?Yes 24.7% 105.44 shares
- China wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?Yes 25% 160 shares