Yes position
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $156.43
- Potential payout
- $7.31K
- Potential profit
- $7.15K
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- -$49.06
Polymarket Trader
paulenskate
0xa0a512abaed61989805d549fdd0838c184d556ef
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.91K
- Realized PnL
- $291.73
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Current value
- $1.64K
- Potential payout
- $1.71K
- Potential profit
- $67.4
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $264.57
No position
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $372.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $127.5
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $2.5
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $403.05
- Potential payout
- $445.36
- Potential profit
- $42.31
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $32.31
No position
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $179.69
- Potential payout
- $210.16
- Potential profit
- $30.47
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $25.22
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $158.06
- Potential payout
- $162.37
- Potential profit
- $4.3
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $7.06
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump talk to Mark Rutte in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $111.39
No position
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $66.18
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.68
No position
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $21.9
No position
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.57
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.76
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.69
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.4
No position
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.75
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.13
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.51
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.15
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.63
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.63
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.28
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.31
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.09
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 85.6% 121.79 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ETUp 50% 2 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ETUp 34% 2.94 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No 95.8% 200 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 93% 162.37 shares
- Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?No 74% 500 shares
- Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 3% 829.5 shares
- Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 3.1% 161.29 shares
- Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 3.3% 357.66 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 81.8% 977.91 shares
- Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 2.8% 16,007.84 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:35AM-7:40AM ETDown 38% 2.63 shares