No position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $2.52K
- Potential payout
- $5.8K
- Potential profit
- $3.28K
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$783
Polymarket Trader
Banez
0xa0ad87a3ec4456ecdb7df2339452068ddd24c8e3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.54K
- Realized PnL
- $778.6
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $16.8
- Potential payout
- $1.6K
- Potential profit
- $1.58K
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$87.04
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$53.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $581.79
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.92
Yes position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 3, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.58
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.19
No position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on April 8?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.1
No position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $7
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.97
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
FUT Esports position
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.55
F5 Esports position
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs regain - Map 2 Winner
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.7
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on April 6?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on April 5?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.71
No position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C or higher on April 8?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.7
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?No 97.4% 268.13 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No 53.2% 3.11 shares
- Counter-Strike: Abyssal vs DXA Esports (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #4 Group ADXA Esports 1% 106.73 shares
- Counter-Strike: Abyssal vs DXA Esports (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #4 Group ADXA Esports 40% 10 shares
- Counter-Strike: LAG Gaming vs mouse (BO3) - Dust2.us Eagle Masters Group Stagemouse 99% 5.57 shares
- Counter-Strike: LAG Gaming vs mouse (BO3) - Dust2.us Eagle Masters Group Stagemouse 96% 5.57 shares
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest PlayoffsFUT Esports 99.9% 19.86 shares
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest PlayoffsFUT Esports 87% 9.96 shares
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest PlayoffsFUT Esports 67% 9.9 shares
- Counter-Strike: FarmVille vs regain (BO3) - CCT North America Series #4 Group Aregain 40% 2.46 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C or higher on April 8?No 99.9% 99.93 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on April 8?No 99.9% 99.9 shares