Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $627.03
- Potential payout
- $2.56K
- Potential profit
- $1.93K
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$571.16
Polymarket Trader
BBL-Drizzy
@MaDylanAb
0xa0b061008fec70b6f7f760ba8dac99daa72ea5fb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.94K
- Realized PnL
- $14.94K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Current value
- $1.24K
- Potential payout
- $1.28K
- Potential profit
- $39.53
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $148.34
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $790
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $10
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $152.59
No position
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 78%
- Current value
- $545.16
- Potential payout
- $698.93
- Potential profit
- $153.76
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $126.58
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $299.12
- Potential payout
- $657.41
- Potential profit
- $358.29
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$44.42
Yes position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $646.78
- Potential payout
- $647.11
- Potential profit
- $0.32
- User PnL
- $81.53
No position
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $453.62
- Potential payout
- $490.4
- Potential profit
- $36.78
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $50.24
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $338.29
- Potential payout
- $386.62
- Potential profit
- $48.33
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $50.07
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.61K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34K
Yes position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.19K
Yes position
Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $932.86
Yes position
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $814.73
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $779.74
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $698.88
Yes position
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 22, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $628.22
No position
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $610.36
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $610.15
Yes position
Will Israel strike ≤1 countries in January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $533.89
No position
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $526.27
No position
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $512.25
No position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $482.1
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $445.09
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $393.68
Yes position
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $386.78
No position
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 28, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $380.47
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $360.62
Yes position
Will Trump say "Waste" this week? (March 1)
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $353.27
No position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $348.55
No position
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $340.85
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $329.74
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $321.88
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 46% 228 shares
- Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?No 93% 5 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 36% 277.78 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 75.3% 647.1 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 88% 454.55 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 87% 839.66 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Yes 32.2% 200 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?Yes 8% 200 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 55% 315.51 shares
- Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?Yes 9.1% 100 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 84.7% 1,180.64 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 61% 182.79 shares