Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $321.69
- Potential payout
- $2.22K
- Potential profit
- $1.9K
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$126.07
Polymarket Trader
Ajsmiith90
0xa0b27418ec757209fa2c53d4ccbf35a9bfe0e22b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $429.78
- Realized PnL
- $300.84
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.6%
- Current value
- $108.1
- Potential payout
- $1.95K
- Potential profit
- $1.84K
- Multiplier
- 18.02x
- User PnL
- $7.99
Yes position
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $192.67
- Potential profit
- $192.67
- User PnL
- -$80.92
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $242.21
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $121.71
Yes position
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.34
Yes position
GOP wins popular vote by 1-2%?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.75
Vance position
Who will win the VP debate according to polls?
Ends Oct 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.13
Yes position
Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.03
Yes position
Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.12
No position
No prison time for Hunter Biden in gun case?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.56
Yes position
Matt Gaetz confirmed as Attorney General?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.29
Yes position
GOP wins popular vote by 7% or more?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
GOP wins popular vote by 0-1%?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
GOP wins popular vote by 2-3%?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
GOP wins popular vote by 4-5%?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
GOP wins popular vote by 6-7%?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
GOP wins popular vote by 3-4%?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
GOP wins popular vote by 5-6%?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Kamala Harris replaced as nominee at DNC?
Ends Aug 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will another state be the closest state?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$12
Yes position
Will Winsome Earle-Sears win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$19
Yes position
Will a Republican win New York Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20.15
Yes position
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$29.86
Yes position
Will a Republican win Virginia Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$41.85
Schimel position
Wisconsin Supreme Court election: Susan Crawford vs. Brad Schimel
Ends Apr 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$53.85
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?Yes 6% 1,100 shares
- Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?Yes 5.9% 30 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes 21% 1,000 shares
- Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?Yes 4.6% 268.63 shares
- Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?Yes 3.6% 549.04 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes 18% 297.06 shares
- Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025Yes 16% 937.19 shares
- Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Yes 42% 192.67 shares
- Will Winsome Earle-Sears win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025Yes 7.4% 256.86 shares
- Will Jack Ciattarelli win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025Yes 20% 500 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes 2.5% 5,997.2 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes 4.8% 3,096.25 shares