No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7%
- Current value
- $5.54K
- Potential payout
- $79.08K
- Potential profit
- $73.55K
- Multiplier
- 14.29x
- User PnL
- -$6.06K
Polymarket Trader
lionkinglionkinglionking
0xa0b6587527d1243da6e36f48d5cc7696df8c3961
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $16.37K
- Realized PnL
- $19.47K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $3.72K
- Potential payout
- $10.49K
- Potential profit
- $6.76K
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- $789.62
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $936.52
- Potential payout
- $9.37K
- Potential profit
- $8.43K
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.21K
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.1%
- Current value
- $6.14K
- Potential payout
- $7.76K
- Potential profit
- $1.63K
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $2.9K
No position
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.96K
- Potential profit
- $5.96K
- User PnL
- -$948.04
No position
Will Russia capture Zarichne by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.42K
- Potential profit
- $1.42K
- User PnL
- -$27.99
No position
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $439.95
- Potential profit
- $439.95
- User PnL
- -$46
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $16.58
- Potential payout
- $419.75
- Potential profit
- $403.17
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
Yes position
AI Industry Downturn by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $333.33
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $318.48
- Potential profit
- $318.48
- User PnL
- -$16
Yes position
Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $296.78
- Potential profit
- $296.78
- User PnL
- -$13
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $20.63
- Potential payout
- $165.01
- Potential profit
- $144.38
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$9.08
No position
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $126.38
- Potential profit
- $126.38
- User PnL
- -$45
No position
Russia strike on Kyiv municipality by January 10, 2026?
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $124.73
- Potential profit
- $124.73
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $122.13
- Potential profit
- $122.13
- User PnL
- -$37
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 23?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$7
No position
Will Russia enter Novopavlivka by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90.91
- Potential profit
- $90.91
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Russia enter Bilytske by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $74.01
- Potential profit
- $74.01
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $58.05
- Potential profit
- $58.05
- User PnL
- -$24.96
No position
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 15?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $57.71
- Potential profit
- $57.71
- User PnL
- -$17
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.59
- Potential profit
- $45.59
- User PnL
- -$25
No position
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the government shutdown end November 14?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.25
- Potential profit
- $31.25
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.58K
No position
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.7K
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.45K
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 93.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $2K
No position
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.88K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7K
No position
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $941.15
No position
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $769.64
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $723.51
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $404.08
No position
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $363.9
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $317.68
No position
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $223.59
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $197.14
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $174.77
No position
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $172.12
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $160.19
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $155.84
No position
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $128.75
No position
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $124.4
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $108.78
No position
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $72.21
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.25
No position
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.85
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?No 48.1% 259.69 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No 9% 800 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No 9% 100 shares
- Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?No 48% 225.03 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?No 18% 848 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No 15% 63.33 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No 14% 158.42 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No 13% 311.18 shares
- Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?No 46.5% 154 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?No 26% 269.23 shares
- Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?No 47% 150 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No 14% 50 shares