Yes position
Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?
Ends Nov 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $6.66
- Potential payout
- $3.33K
- Potential profit
- $3.33K
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.33
Polymarket Trader
olady
@orbpl62258744
0xa0b788af388de0f512e4d681981a2f56a17342f6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.24K
- Realized PnL
- $1.18K
- Win rate
- 70.8%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $678.62
- Potential payout
- $843
- Potential profit
- $164.39
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$80.09
No position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.1%
- Current value
- $484.14
- Potential payout
- $711.44
- Potential profit
- $227.31
- Multiplier
- 1.47x
- User PnL
- -$122.72
No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.1%
- Current value
- $66.48
- Potential payout
- $315.8
- Potential profit
- $249.32
- Multiplier
- 4.75x
- User PnL
- -$189.32
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $266.2
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $255
Yes position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $217.69
Yes position
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $154.06
Yes position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.54
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.5
No position
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.8
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.61
No position
Will Uruguay win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.7
No position
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.41
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.62
No position
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.36
Yes position
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.11
T1 position
LoL: T1 vs Movistar KOI (BO3)
Ends Oct 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.88
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.08
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.78
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.1%
- Multiplier
- 16.53x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 90% 843 shares
- Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?Yes 0.3% 3,332 shares
- Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No 89% 1,141.38 shares
- Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No 88% 1,141.38 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?No 99.9% 151.15 shares
- Will Uruguay win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 80% 189.25 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?No 99.7% 258.78 shares
- Will Uruguay win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 82% 297.5 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 85.3% 711.44 shares
- Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?No 60% 665.49 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 81% 315.8 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?No 4.3% 1,306.06 shares