Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iran?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $17.07
- Potential payout
- $17.07K
- Potential profit
- $17.05K
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$7.17
Polymarket Trader
Porx
@PolyPorx
0xa0bca9bdd8540da95060ed1fafb78aa03835d428
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.75K
- Realized PnL
- $44.41K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.87K
- Potential profit
- $11.87K
- User PnL
- -$210.29
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $4.82
- Potential payout
- $9.64K
- Potential profit
- $9.63K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$25.33
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.38K
- Potential profit
- $9.38K
- User PnL
- -$4.94K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.64K
- Potential profit
- $6.64K
- User PnL
- -$4.24K
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $66.42
- Potential payout
- $5.11K
- Potential profit
- $5.04K
- Multiplier
- 76.92x
- User PnL
- -$53.49
No position
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.6K
- Potential profit
- $4.6K
- User PnL
- -$226.58
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $2.02
- Potential payout
- $4.04K
- Potential profit
- $4.04K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$153.22
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.9%
- Current value
- $234
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $3.77K
- Multiplier
- 17.09x
- User PnL
- -$24.9
No position
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.69K
- Potential profit
- $3.69K
- User PnL
- -$332.79
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.5K
- Potential profit
- $3.5K
- User PnL
- -$114.43
Yes position
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.42K
- Potential profit
- $3.42K
- User PnL
- -$52.16
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.4K
- Potential profit
- $3.4K
- User PnL
- -$355.02
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $3.03K
- Potential payout
- $3.39K
- Potential profit
- $355.62
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $258.08
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.23K
- Potential profit
- $3.23K
- User PnL
- -$527.37
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$290
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $47.11
- Potential payout
- $2.94K
- Potential profit
- $2.9K
- Multiplier
- 62.50x
- User PnL
- -$1.79
No position
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $2.25K
- Potential payout
- $2.83K
- Potential profit
- $580.61
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- -$108.77
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.79K
- Potential profit
- $2.79K
- User PnL
- -$477.79
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 28%
- Current value
- $756
- Potential payout
- $2.7K
- Potential profit
- $1.94K
- Multiplier
- 3.57x
- User PnL
- -$235.99
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $58.16
- Potential payout
- $2.37K
- Potential profit
- $2.32K
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- -$208.81
Yes position
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.29K
- Potential profit
- $2.29K
- User PnL
- -$123.02
Yes position
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $280.67
- Potential payout
- $2.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.96K
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$208.85
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$100
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.61K
Yes position
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.1K
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.01K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.18K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.89K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.96K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.86K
Yes position
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.66K
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.59K
No position
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.58K
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.42K
Yes position
Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by Feb 28 Odds >30% by Friday?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.31K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22K
Yes position
US strike on Syria by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.18K
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.14K
No position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.07K
Yes position
Will Russia capture Yunakivka before August?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.05K
Yes position
US strike on Syria by December 19?
Ends Dec 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05K
Yes position
Will Putin meet with Trump by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03K
Yes position
Successful Ukrainian counterattack in Donbass?
Ends Aug 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $996.01
Yes position
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $953.07
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $951.05
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 9.8% 1,499.41 shares
- Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes 2.8% 2,337.71 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?No 90.3% 255.94 shares
- Will Trump speak to Maria Corina Machado in June?No 88% 100 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No 27.7% 291.18 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No 96.7% 400 shares
- Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?No 98.4% 368.96 shares
- Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026?Yes 18% 67.39 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No 96.4% 200 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?No 1.3% 105.85 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?No 97.7% 434 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?Yes 54.7% 500 shares