No position
Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 65%
- Current value
- $1.15K
- Potential payout
- $1.77K
- Potential profit
- $619.85
- Multiplier
- 1.54x
- User PnL
- $159.39
Polymarket Trader
27781
@ArcolaGlid26188
0xa0c0b2127f46690233ba625cda17a4bbe2b9c4c9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.29K
- Realized PnL
- $3.03K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Southern Super Stars position
Legends Cricket League: Southern Super Stars vs India Tigers
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $568.58
- Potential payout
- $855
- Potential profit
- $286.42
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $423.23
No position
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 67%
- Current value
- $525.15
- Potential payout
- $783.8
- Potential profit
- $258.65
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- $23.51
Yes position
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 31%
- Current value
- $45.88
- Potential payout
- $148
- Potential profit
- $102.12
- Multiplier
- 3.23x
- User PnL
- -$19.24
Yes position
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.6%
- Current value
- $1.08
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $28.92
- Multiplier
- 27.78x
- User PnL
- -$7.92
Yes position
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.6%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $13.5
- Multiplier
- 27.78x
- User PnL
- -$1.04
Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $1.01
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $2
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$0.59
Yes position
Will Israel strike 10 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.99
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Ethena dip to $0.04 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 57%
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- $415.25
Yes position
Will PUMP be the top performing crypto for the week of March 9?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $407.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 9PM ET
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $356.23
No position
Will Furia qualify to Blast Open Rotterdam Playoffs?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $273.36
North Carolina Central Eagles position
North Carolina Central Eagles vs. South Carolina State Bulldogs (W)
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $222.72
Over position
CA Osasuna vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 1.5
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $174.6
No position
Will the Los Angeles Rams be eliminated in the Super Bowl?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109.6
Partizan position
Partizan vs. BC Dubai
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.07
No position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 9 be between 2,100,000 and 2,200,000?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.71
Yes position
Will Trump say "Epic Fury" this week? (March 15)
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.28
Al Hilal Saudi Club position
Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-1.5)
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.15
No position
Will Medline's market cap be between $55B and $65B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.65
Yes position
Will the announcers say "Choke" or "Choked" during Strickland vs. Hernandez?
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.75
Yes position
Will Fomo launch a token by June 30 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Multiplier
- 31.25x
- User PnL
- $61.7
Yes position
Will Qingdao Hainiu FC win on 2026-04-17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $61.56
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 21, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.04
Yes position
Will Leavitt say "Baby" or "Pregnant" during the next White House press briefing?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.72
No position
Will "Wicked: For Good" Second Weekend Box Office be between 93m and 101m?
Ends Dec 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.88
Yes position
Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $54.04
Yes position
Will Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $51
No position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in November 2025?
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.98
Down position
XRP Up or Down - February 11, 9PM ET
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.5
No position
Will Trump post "Son" on Truth Social this week?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.16
No position
Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by April 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.56
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Starmer say "War" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?No 19.5% 684 shares
- Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?No 56% 1,771 shares
- Will USD.AI launch a token by April 30?No 13.7% 1,398 shares
- Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?No 68% 155 shares
- China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?No 84% 935 shares
- CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?No 50% 624 shares
- Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?No 68% 65 shares
- Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?No 68% 378 shares
- Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?No 73% 443 shares
- China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?No 85% 935 shares
- Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?No 68% 155 shares
- Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by April 30?No 84% 81 shares