Polymarket Trader

Abrha

@jessie_lee37

0xa0c8794dd8f08e7e746c59d8612d43e16167ae8e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $186.55
Realized PnL: $67.51
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $179.46
Potential payout: $209.89
Potential profit: $30.43
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$11.54

Yes position

Will Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $7.1
Potential payout: $14.63
Potential profit: $7.54
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: -$4.9

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.08

Yes position

Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.72

Yes position

Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.64

Yes position

Will Vitality win BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.63

Yes position

Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.62

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.49

Yes position

SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.94

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.92

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.26

Yes position

Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Pacific Division?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.72

Yes position

Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.23

Yes position

Will Newcastle United advance to the round of 16?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.48

No position

Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.47

Yes position

Will Donald Trump visit China in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.45

No position

Kash Patel out by April 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.32

Yes position

Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13

Yes position

Cerebras IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

No position

Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.9

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.84

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.83

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.83

No position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.72

Yes position

Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.69

Yes position

Will monthly inflation increase by 0.8% or more in March?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.58

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 91% 209.89 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Yes 82% 30.49 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?

No 96.9% 26.83 shares
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2026?

Yes 93.8% 23.45 shares
Will Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2026?

Yes 82% 14.63 shares
Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?

Yes 71% 19.72 shares
Will Vitality win BLAST Rivals Fort Worth 2026?

Yes 80% 28.13 shares
Cerebras IPO before 2027?

Yes 99% 14.14 shares
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?

Yes 88.7% 49.74 shares
Kash Patel out by April 30?

No 93.8% 21.32 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

No 99.2% 12.93 shares
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

No 98.3% 23.39 shares