Polymarket Trader

oxyqste

0xa0e165ed0d15df35681e824bca5ca196d2f0a653

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $33.43
Realized PnL: $8.48
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 3
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Alibaba have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.88
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.13
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 41°C or higher on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.39
Potential payout: $112.14
Potential profit: $111.74
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.61

No position

No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $58.32
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$0.5

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.4
Potential profit: $30.4
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Andrew Pemberton get second place in the Clacton by-election?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $0.86
Potential payout: $25.33
Potential profit: $24.47
Multiplier: 29.41x
User PnL: -$0.61

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 8.2%
Current value: $2.04
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $22.96
Multiplier: 12.27x
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $0.55
Potential payout: $23
Potential profit: $22.45
Multiplier: 41.67x
User PnL: -$0.45

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 28, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $0.37
Potential payout: $20.83
Potential profit: $20.46
Multiplier: 55.56x
User PnL: -$0.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 38.1%
Current value: $4.78
Potential payout: $12.54
Potential profit: $7.76
Multiplier: 2.62x
User PnL: -$0.22

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $5.56
Potential payout: $8.24
Potential profit: $2.68
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $2.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $0.14
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $7.55
Multiplier: 54.05x
User PnL: -$0.86

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $7.46
Potential payout: $7.5
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: $1.46

No position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $6.66
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $2.97
Potential payout: $6.52
Potential profit: $3.55
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $0.47
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $5.78
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$0.53

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 43%
Current value: $1.91
Potential payout: $4.44
Potential profit: $2.53
Multiplier: 2.33x
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $1.98
Potential payout: $3.64
Potential profit: $1.65
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: -$0.02

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.57
Potential payout: $2.57
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $1.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.8

No position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 3?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.72

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 11?

No 60% 2.57 shares
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 11?

Yes 13% 7.69 shares
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 45% 4.44 shares
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 4.3% 23 shares
Will Alibaba have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 0.4% 250 shares
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?

No 46% 6.52 shares
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on July 10?

Yes 99.9% 9.81 shares
Will Andrew Pemberton get second place in the Clacton by-election?

Yes 5.8% 25.33 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 11?

Yes 36.4% 8.24 shares
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Yes 55% 3.64 shares
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on July 11?

Yes 16% 6.25 shares
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 41°C or higher on July 11?

Yes 0.9% 112.14 shares