No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $21.99K
- Potential payout
- $22.04K
- Potential profit
- $55.11
- User PnL
- -$11
Polymarket Trader
Paul973973
0xa1089452f0224a9973505f2d4347c2ea2f08abd3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $47.19K
- Realized PnL
- $0
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $6.9K
- Potential payout
- $8.16K
- Potential profit
- $1.26K
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$104.86
Yes position
SpaceX IPO: Officially added to Nasdaq-100 in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $4.63K
- Potential payout
- $4.68K
- Potential profit
- $53.82
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $46.39
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $3.86K
- Potential payout
- $4.01K
- Potential profit
- $150.31
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $157.97
No position
Jimmy Lai released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $3.79K
- Potential payout
- $3.83K
- Potential profit
- $45.98
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$14.26
No position
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $2.21K
- Potential payout
- $2.23K
- Potential profit
- $18.94
- User PnL
- $9.04
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $1.99K
- Potential payout
- $2.15K
- Potential profit
- $161.29
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$10.75
No position
SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $1.84K
- Potential payout
- $1.99K
- Potential profit
- $148.96
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $37.14
Spurs position
Knicks vs. Spurs
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$100
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Up position
SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on Second Day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 88% 4,545.45 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 83% 3,614.46 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 92.3% 108.34 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 92.3% 3,899.93 shares
- Jimmy Lai released by June 30?No 99.3% 604.23 shares
- SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on Second Day?Up 99% 5,050.51 shares
- SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on Second Day?Up 98.7% 3,038.08 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No 99.8% 20,040.08 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No 99.8% 2,004.01 shares
- Jimmy Lai released by June 30?No 99.2% 1,612.9 shares
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?No 98.7% 1,013.17 shares
- SpaceX IPO: Officially added to Nasdaq-100 in 2026?Yes 98% 102.04 shares