Yes position
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $197.5
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- $0.3
Polymarket Trader
0xa1095F30821ba662A6d618c3E9E6c2a371E77e42-1770424987203
0xa1095f30821ba662a6d618c3e9e6c2a371e77e42
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $280.37
- Realized PnL
- $570.61
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.6
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.4
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$7.4
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $85.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $14.5
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $81.49
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $18.51
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$0.51
Yes position
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.41
- Potential payout
- $75
- Potential profit
- $74.59
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.71
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.8%
- Current value
- $6.06
- Potential payout
- $51.55
- Potential profit
- $45.49
- Multiplier
- 8.51x
- User PnL
- $1.06
Yes position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.3%
- Current value
- $3.13
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $46.88
- Multiplier
- 16.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.88
No position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $17.24
- Potential payout
- $49.99
- Potential profit
- $32.75
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.7%
- Current value
- $7.86
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $32.14
- Multiplier
- 5.09x
- User PnL
- $3.01
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.6%
- Current value
- $5.02
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $34.98
- Multiplier
- 7.97x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.1%
- Current value
- $2.86
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $37.14
- Multiplier
- 14.01x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $1.58
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $38.42
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- $0.26
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.4%
- Current value
- $2.54
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $37.46
- Multiplier
- 15.75x
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Current value
- $4.1
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $25.91
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.83
Yes position
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $15.82
- Potential payout
- $28
- Potential profit
- $12.18
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.42
No position
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $1.5
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $18.5
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$10.7
No position
Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $11.5
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $8.5
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$2.7
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $1.19
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $18.81
- Multiplier
- 16.81x
- User PnL
- -$0.55
Yes position
Will Panama win on 2026-06-27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $1.5
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $18.5
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $6.7
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $13.3
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $3.1
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $16.9
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.09
- Potential payout
- $19.43
- Potential profit
- $19.34
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.88
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $5.59
No position
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 81%
- Current value
- $8.1
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $1.9
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $0.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.34
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.32
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.17
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.42
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.87
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.78
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.63
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.7
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12AM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $17.34
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.33
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 6AM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.34
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.21
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.6
Up position
XRP Up or Down - April 29, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.75
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.41
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 21?No 80% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on June 21?Yes 29% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 21?No 73% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on June 21?Yes 10% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on June 21?No 74% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on June 21?Yes 21% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on June 21?No 66% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on June 20?No 79.7% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 21?No 44% 10 shares
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5Over 40% 10 shares
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5Under 38% 10 shares
- Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5Under 39% 10 shares