Polymarket Trader

marcusaudacious

0xa10978345926f122a2b30f9ffc8e35924a7fa628

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $501.21
Realized PnL: $2.42K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 18%
Current value: $138.96
Potential payout: $772
Potential profit: $633.04
Multiplier: 5.56x
User PnL: $23.16

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $362.25
Potential payout: $630
Potential profit: $267.75
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: -$103.95

Yes position

Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $611.25
Potential profit: $611.25
User PnL: -$24.45

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $311
Potential profit: $311
User PnL: -$13.06

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $260
Potential profit: $260
User PnL: -$0.78

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $260
Potential profit: $260
User PnL: -$9.88

Yes position

Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $205
Potential profit: $205
User PnL: -$18.45

Yes position

Fed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Karol Nawrocki win by 0-4%?

Ends Jun 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $562.39

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $109K on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $557.14

No position

Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $352.5

Yes position

Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be less than 5%?

Ends Jun 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $325.88

Yes position

Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $171.84

No position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.9

No position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.04

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $78.03

Yes position

Will BTC close above $102K on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.3

No position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $40.44

No position

Nothing Ever Happens: Jerome Powell Edition

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.71

No position

Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.39

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.95

Yes position

Will there be a US Government shutdown?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.17

No position

Bitcoin above $117,000 on August 6?

Ends Aug 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.8

No position

Bitcoin above $100,000 on November 29?

Ends Nov 29, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.66

Yes position

TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.99

No position

Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.9

No position

Will Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.78

No position

Will Grünen win the most seats in the next German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.46

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.73

Yes position

Will Biden say "Project 2025" at DNC speech?

Ends Aug 19, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.59

No position

Will Canada join US as 51st state before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.31

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Fed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?

Yes 4% 50 shares
Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?

Yes 15% 72 shares
Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?

Yes 15% 90 shares
Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?

Yes 15% 79 shares
Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?

Yes 15% 94 shares
Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?

Yes 15% 85 shares
Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?

Yes 15% 72 shares
Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?

Yes 15% 70 shares
Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?

Yes 15% 90 shares
Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?

Yes 15% 120 shares
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?

Yes 9% 45 shares
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?

Yes 9% 45 shares