Y
Yes position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Current value
- $82.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $217.5
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- $31.5
Polymarket Trader
doumiao
0xa1163784ce90ffb22c85edb2a6e2fa62994409be
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $82.5
- Realized PnL
- $1.95K
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Oct 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.1%
- Multiplier
- 16.39x
- User PnL
- $1.81K
No position
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $116
No position
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.35
Yes position
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?
Ends Oct 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.71
No position
Chelsea wins the Premier League?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.07
No position
Will Trump pardon 750-999 Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.07
No position
Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.52
Yes position
Jumper airdrop in Q1 2025?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?Yes 24% 19,244 shares
- Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?Yes 23% 21,785 shares
- Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?Yes 21% 16,746 shares
- Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?Yes 21% 22,011 shares
- Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?No 79.4% 2,935 shares
- Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?No 78.4% 2,935 shares
- Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?No 77% 2,900 shares
- Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?No 73% 2,900 shares
- Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?Yes 97% 23.71 shares
- Chelsea wins the Premier League?No 99.8% 66.35 shares
- Chelsea wins the Premier League?No 99.9% 66.36 shares
- Jumper airdrop in Q1 2025?Yes 5.2% 57.69 shares