Yes position
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 56-57°F on February 26?
Ends Feb 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.4
Polymarket Trader
AFIsa
0xa1276da49440fa226a927a3a33fa28e9f9639b59
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $20.98
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $2.81
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Multiplier
- 71.43x
- User PnL
- $2.18
Auburn position
Arkansas vs. Auburn
Ends Feb 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
No position
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.85
Yes position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.7%
- Multiplier
- 11.49x
- User PnL
- $0.8
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 56-57°F on February 26?
Ends Feb 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.4
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $2.81
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Multiplier
- 71.43x
- User PnL
- $2.18
Auburn position
Arkansas vs. Auburn
Ends Feb 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
No position
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.85
Yes position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.7%
- Multiplier
- 11.49x
- User PnL
- $0.8
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Multiplier
- 16.81x
- User PnL
- $0.77
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $0.69
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
Yes position
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.4%
- Multiplier
- 15.63x
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be between 43-44°F on February 26?
Ends Feb 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be between 45-46°F on February 26?
Ends Feb 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian Presidential election by 5-10%?
Ends Dec 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Juventus win the FIFA Club World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Canada join US as 51st state before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and Greens form the next German Government?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $85k in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No 98.7% 1 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes 25% 40 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No 98.3% 34 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?Yes 11.4% 9 shares
- Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 19% 35 shares
- Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 18% 80 shares
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?Yes 16% 85.02 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 80.8% 57 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 79.7% 57 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 80.5% 56 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 76.6% 56 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No 17% 8 shares