Polymarket Trader

Kris-Future

0xa139daa9e38c0b6d24443bede2d34bcdc4256f00

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $16.65K
Realized PnL: $20.83K
Win rate: 95.8%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.7%
Current value: $8.46K
Potential payout: $8.75K
Potential profit: $288.8
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $728.99

Yes position

US takes Panama Canal before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $395.39
Potential payout: $3.95K
Potential profit: $3.56K
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: -$152.03

No position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $3.47K
Potential payout: $3.51K
Potential profit: $35.07
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $135.43

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $2.3K
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $705
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $45

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.4K
Potential profit: $2.4K
User PnL: -$1.74K

Yes position

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $290
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.71K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$260

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.8%
Current value: $1.27K
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $29.25
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $71.75

Yes position

Germany leading at halftime?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$456

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$880

No position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $467.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $32.5
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $7.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.01K

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.74K

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.36K

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.03K

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.65K

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $1.41K

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $888.87

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $880.22

No position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $511.03

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $508.73

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $455.51

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $330.9

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $207.01

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $180.25

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $141.11

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118.88

No position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.9%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $112.01

Yes position

US strike on Colombia by December 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: $80.53

No position

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73

No position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.9

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.8

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.2

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.4

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 94.9% 300 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

No 75% 3,000 shares
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

No 92% 500 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 94% 300 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 87.9% 300 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 89.2% 200 shares
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 96.3% 126.42 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 89.9% 35.55 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 88.9% 300 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 76.5% 5 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

No 99.7% 192.44 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

No 99.7% 7.55 shares