No position
Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $20B and $30B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 93.6%
- Current value
- $46.8
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $3.2
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $21.8
Polymarket Trader
0xa144...e0e2
0xa1442e30e040b25aa1e46dec0656200ed745e0e2
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $63.53
- Realized PnL
- -$19.65
- Win rate
- 42.9%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 14
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63%
- Current value
- $6.93
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $4.07
- Multiplier
- 1.59x
- User PnL
- $1.43
Yes position
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.1%
- Current value
- $6.13
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $2.87
- Multiplier
- 1.47x
- User PnL
- $0.22
Yes position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 45%
- Current value
- $3.15
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $3.85
- Multiplier
- 2.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
Yes position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $0.53
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.48
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.53
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $4.6
Yes position
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 37%
- Multiplier
- 2.70x
- User PnL
- $2.38
Yes position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $1.06
No position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.79
No position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.66
Yes position
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.6%
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Yes position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.95x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Yes position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.42
No position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.9%
- Multiplier
- 6.73x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
Yes position
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- -$4.6
Yes position
Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $20B and $30B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 6.4%
- Multiplier
- 15.63x
- User PnL
- -$23.55
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?No 88.1% 7 shares
- Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?No 79% 5 shares
- Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 19% 9 shares
- U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?No 79% 6 shares
- U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?Yes 21% 5 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 55.7% 9 shares
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?No 79% 5 shares
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Yes 21% 7 shares
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?No 78% 7 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 47.7% 6 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?No 10.2% 10 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?No 16.5% 11 shares