Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 73°F or below on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$3
Polymarket Trader
TheHobbitMan
@VSaerdna
0xa14e86c6595560d58ba29cc251ff85ccc8cd58ba
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $19.03
- Realized PnL
- $4.68
- Win rate
- 43.8%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 5°C or below on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C or below on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C or below on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C or below on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or below on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 25°C or below on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 67°F or below on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $281.06
- Potential profit
- $281.06
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $7.94
- Potential profit
- $7.93
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.99
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $3.3
- Potential payout
- $7.58
- Potential profit
- $4.28
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$1.7
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $4.81
- Potential payout
- $7.58
- Potential profit
- $2.77
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.46
- Potential profit
- $7.46
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $5.61
- Potential payout
- $7.14
- Potential profit
- $1.54
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $0.61
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $5.31
- Potential payout
- $6.94
- Potential profit
- $1.63
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $0.31
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67
No position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.41
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.31
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0.67
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.0m & 4.2m square kilometers?
Ends Oct 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?
Ends Oct 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 76%
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C or higher on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.09
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 70%
- Multiplier
- 1.43x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.49
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 34°C on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.6%
- Multiplier
- 11.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.93
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 1?No 66% 7.58 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 1?No 73% 6.57 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 1?No 76% 6.58 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 1?No 66% 7.58 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 1?No 82% 6.91 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 1?No 99.8% 6.32 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 1?No 72.3% 6.92 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 1?No 79% 6.33 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 1?No 70% 7.14 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 1?No 72% 6.94 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 30?No 78% 6.41 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 30?No 75% 6.67 shares