Polymarket Trader

fengjing1

0xa15bef3c9810d535c6481ffaa28edff26ba266bd

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $5.56
Realized PnL: $4.96
Win rate: 90.9%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 11
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 6AM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$4.12

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21.6%
Current value: $2.55
Potential payout: $11.82
Potential profit: $9.27
Multiplier: 4.64x
User PnL: $0.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.84
Potential profit: $9.84
User PnL: -$4.92

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.34
Potential profit: $9.34
User PnL: -$4.92

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.29
Potential profit: $9.29
User PnL: -$4.92

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.2%
Current value: $1.67
Potential payout: $9.17
Potential profit: $7.51
Multiplier: 5.51x
User PnL: $0.67

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on March 17?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.82
Potential profit: $6.82
User PnL: -$1.98

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 20.8%
Current value: $1.35
Potential payout: $6.49
Potential profit: $5.15
Multiplier: 4.82x
User PnL: $0.35

Yes position

Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 6AM ET

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.28
Potential profit: $3.28
User PnL: -$1.48

Yes position

Major solar storm by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.79
Potential profit: $1.79
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.67

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.87

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 6AM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.47

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 8AM ET

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.24

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 7AM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9AM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.05

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$3.37

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 6AM ET

Up 45% 3.23 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 8AM ET

Down 67% 1.96 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 8AM ET

Down 50% 1.94 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9AM ET

Up 84% 1.24 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 9AM ET

Up 80% 1.23 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 7AM ET

Up 83% 1.27 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 7AM ET

Up 78% 1.26 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 6AM ET

Up 0.1% 5,000 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 6AM ET

Down 80% 6.78 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 6AM ET

Down 73% 6.72 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.9% 9.17 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 15.4% 6.49 shares