No position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $154
- Potential profit
- $154
- User PnL
- -$120.1
Polymarket Trader
0xA1605778dBB59B1D1feF1b552E3848DC2014F853-1776657303269
0xa1605778dbb59b1d1fef1b552e3848dc2014f853
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $45.68
- Realized PnL
- $618.7
- Win rate
- 91.7%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $45.68
- Potential payout
- $105
- Potential profit
- $59.33
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$14.17
Yes position
Will Cerebras' market cap be less than $50B at market close on IPO day?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35
- Potential profit
- $35
- User PnL
- -$2.8
No position
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.22
- Potential profit
- $20.22
- User PnL
- -$10.7
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $454.91
Yes position
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.91
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.53
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.95
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.87
Y
Yes position
Will Paraguay be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.68
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.5
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.64
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.54
Y
Yes position
Will Norway reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 35%
- Multiplier
- 2.86x
- User PnL
- $6.61
Y
Yes position
Will Cícero Lucena win the Governor of Paraíba election?
Ends Oct 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- $6.43
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.06
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.76
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.77
Y
Yes position
Will USA be the highest-scoring team in Group D during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
N
No position
Will Paraguay reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
N
No position
Will Norway reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 65%
- Multiplier
- 1.54x
- User PnL
- $0.22
N
No position
Will South America (CONMEBOL) score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.22
Yes position
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.27
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?Yes 54.9% 326.56 shares
- Will Paraguay be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?No 34.9% 470.98 shares
- Will Norway reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 14% 11.16 shares
- Will USA be the highest-scoring team in Group D during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 83% 9.69 shares
- Will Norway reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 84% 11.16 shares
- Will South America (CONMEBOL) score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 97.1% 20 shares
- Will Paraguay reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 96.7% 30 shares
- Will Türkiye finish second in Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?Yes 10.9% 105.04 shares
- Will USA be the highest-scoring team in Group D during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 13.3% 268 shares
- Will Paraguay be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?Yes 62% 227 shares
- Will Norway reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 18% 694.84 shares
- Will Cícero Lucena win the Governor of Paraíba election?Yes 36.9% 343 shares