Polymarket Trader

Risto

0xa17325d33b095b6bb48d475a3578fecbdff73315

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $58.31K
Realized PnL: $59.82K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.9%
Current value: $6.44K
Potential payout: $50.08K
Potential profit: $43.65K
Multiplier: 7.78x
User PnL: $750.67

Yes position

Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $125
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $49.88K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $25

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $20K
User PnL: -$18.76K

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $8.47K
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $6.53K
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$850.41

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 8.1%
Current value: $805
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.2K
Multiplier: 12.42x
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.2%
Current value: $7.39K
Potential payout: $7.68K
Potential profit: $295.79
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $48.36

Yes position

Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $53.44
Potential payout: $7.13K
Potential profit: $7.07K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$60.57

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $6.36K
Potential payout: $6.37K
Potential profit: $15.94
User PnL: $1.29K

No position

Ethereal FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $4K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $1K
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $1.1K

No position

Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $4.97K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $27.5
User PnL: $171.5

No position

GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 44%
Current value: $1.81K
Potential payout: $4.12K
Potential profit: $2.31K
Multiplier: 2.27x
User PnL: -$290.77

No position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $3.99K
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $14
User PnL: $562.8

Yes position

Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $24.08
Potential payout: $3.71K
Potential profit: $3.68K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $1.85

Yes position

Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $31.25
Potential payout: $2.98K
Potential profit: $2.94K
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: $7.44

No position

Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $1.65K
Potential payout: $2.69K
Potential profit: $1.04K
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: -$143.76

No position

GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 70%
Current value: $1.75K
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $749.8
Multiplier: 1.43x
User PnL: $4.59

No position

Printr FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $1.87K
Potential payout: $2.2K
Potential profit: $329.92
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $256.87

Yes position

Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 58%
Current value: $1.16K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $840
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: $10

No position

Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.8%
Current value: $1.89K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $105
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $132.6

No position

GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $1.85K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $149.97
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $203.03

No position

Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 81%
Current value: $1.58K
Potential payout: $1.95K
Potential profit: $371.31
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $61.23

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 8.2%
Current value: $143.5
Potential payout: $1.75K
Potential profit: $1.61K
Multiplier: 12.20x
User PnL: $73.5

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $1.48K
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $22.5
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $72.5

No position

Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $460.54
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $836.75
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: -$243.07

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.21K

No position

Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.83K

Pacers position

Pacers vs. Knicks

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5K

Pistons position

Pistons vs. Hornets

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4K

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.53K

Seahawks position

Seahawks vs. Patriots

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.5K

Yes position

Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.92K

No position

Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.79K

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.67K

No position

Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.12K

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.2%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $1.95K

No position

Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.94K

No position

EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.79K

No position

Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.59K

No position

Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.35K

No position

Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.31K

No position

Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 71.4%
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $1.3K

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.26K

No position

Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 57.7%
Multiplier: 1.73x
User PnL: $1.2K

No position

Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17K

No position

USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.03K

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $813.08

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $781.66

No position

Zama auction clearing price above $0.05?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $764

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 21% 1,000.26 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 88.7% 752.13 shares
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.1% 99,999.92 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 34% 62.06 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 56% 89.29 shares
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Yes 95.9% 677.9 shares
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?

Yes 99.6% 30.71 shares
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 0.3% 100,000 shares
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 94% 100 shares
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?

Yes 94.6% 1,159.99 shares
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?

Yes 95.1% 1.08 shares
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?

Yes 94% 105.69 shares