Anthropic position
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $937.02
- Potential payout
- $1.27K
- Potential profit
- $337.84
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $7.66
Polymarket Trader
asldfjk
0xa178826db4424fdbe3601e5243743a47b43e980c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.5K
- Realized PnL
- $3.23K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Bang Si-hyuk charged in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 61%
- Current value
- $394.68
- Potential payout
- $647.01
- Potential profit
- $252.33
- Multiplier
- 1.64x
- User PnL
- $60.17
Yes position
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.4%?
Ends Jul 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 22%
- Current value
- $21.63
- Potential payout
- $98.32
- Potential profit
- $76.69
- Multiplier
- 4.55x
- User PnL
- -$15.59
No position
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.5% and 3.9%?
Ends Jul 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $47.82
- Potential payout
- $81.74
- Potential profit
- $33.92
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- -$10.6
Yes position
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.5% and 1.9%?
Ends Jul 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.3%
- Current value
- $25.35
- Potential payout
- $55.96
- Potential profit
- $30.61
- Multiplier
- 2.21x
- User PnL
- $21.37
Yes position
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.4%?
Ends Jul 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $5.68
- Potential payout
- $54.07
- Potential profit
- $48.39
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$2.37
No position
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.4%?
Ends Jul 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.4%
- Current value
- $30.56
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $9.44
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- -$5.84
No position
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be at least 4.5%?
Ends Jul 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.4%
- Current value
- $23.82
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $6.18
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $4.32
Yes position
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.9%?
Ends Jul 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.7%
- Current value
- $12.71
- Potential payout
- $25.6
- Potential profit
- $12.89
- Multiplier
- 2.01x
- User PnL
- $9.39
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $733.68
Yes position
Will the People Power Party win 4 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $623.54
Yes position
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by less than 3%?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $246.96
Yes position
Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $220.77
No position
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 45%
- Multiplier
- 2.22x
- User PnL
- $194.64
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party of Korea win 8 or 9 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $169.37
Yes position
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q1 2026 be at least 2.5%?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $163.62
Yes position
Will voter turnout be between 60% and 65% in the 2026 Seoul mayoral election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123.55
No position
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.6
Yes position
Will Woo Sang-ho win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.6
Yes position
Will the KOSPI Composite Index (^KS11) close above 5000 on the final trading day of Q1 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.8
O2 Blast position
Overwatch: SuperBad vs O2 Blast (BO3) - OCS Korea Stage 2 Group Stage
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.86
South Korea position
First Round Pool C: Australia vs. South Korea
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.15
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.66
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.19
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.22
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.8
Yes position
Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province gubernatorial election by between 10% and 20%?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.96
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.87
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.09
Crazy Raccoon position
Overwatch: Crazy Raccoon vs Twisted Minds (BO4) - OCS Champions Clash Playoffs
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.35
No position
Will the Democratic Party of Korea win 10 or more seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.04
Yes position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.39
Yes position
Will Burnley FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.35
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?Yes 91% 100 shares
- Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Anthropic 74% 126.1 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?Yes 91% 114 shares
- Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Anthropic 74% 137.32 shares
- Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?Yes 69% 280 shares
- Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?Yes 69% 671 shares
- Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?Yes 68% 20 shares
- Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?Yes 66.5% 97.99 shares
- Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?Yes 61.9% 225.37 shares
- SpaceX IPO: Open Price above IPO Price?Yes 99% 200.28 shares
- Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.5% and 3.9%?No 93.8% 17 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?Yes 58.5% 153.25 shares