Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $2.84K
- Potential payout
- $21.01K
- Potential profit
- $18.17K
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$8.8K
Polymarket Trader
smallcapguy
0xa17d48beef329c655ec813cb8b99e3a50b62f27e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.87K
- Realized PnL
- $15.7K
- Win rate
- 77.8%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$928.9
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- User PnL
- -$576
Down position
Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on April 13?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $790.03
- Potential profit
- $790.03
- User PnL
- -$543.89
Down position
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on April 13?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $534.8
- Potential profit
- $534.8
- User PnL
- -$400
No position
Will Discord’s market cap be less than $15B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $36.28
- Potential payout
- $36.3
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $6.28
Down position
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on April 13?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.72
- Potential profit
- $29.72
- User PnL
- -$22.84
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.4K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.36K
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.43K
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 9?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $708.05
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $631.19
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 13?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $137.97
Down position
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on April 13?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.47
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.05K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?No 31% 3,000 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?No 64.8% 3,000 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 36% 8 shares
- Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on April 13?Down 69% 296.28 shares
- Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on April 13?Down 76.8% 29.72 shares
- Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on April 13?Down 68.8% 493.75 shares
- Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on April 13?Down 75% 5.88 shares
- Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on April 13?Down 74.8% 504.86 shares
- Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on April 13?Down 77.8% 386.54 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 13?Down 83.6% 840 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 37.9% 4,968.54 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 59% 300 shares