No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$166
Polymarket Trader
frank19571
0xa18267346c98548f9b9dad3b232ecfaaf347aca0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.68
- Realized PnL
- $707.99
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 26-27°F on February 23?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150.01
- Potential profit
- $150.01
- User PnL
- -$0.52
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 21°F or below on February 23?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150.01
- Potential profit
- $150.01
- User PnL
- -$0.52
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 28-29°F on February 23?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150.01
- Potential profit
- $150.01
- User PnL
- -$0.52
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 24-25°F on February 23?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150.01
- Potential profit
- $150.01
- User PnL
- -$0.52
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 22-23°F on February 23?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150.01
- Potential profit
- $150.01
- User PnL
- -$0.52
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on February 23?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90
- Potential profit
- $90
- User PnL
- -$9.26
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $76,000 on February 23?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90
- Potential profit
- $90
- User PnL
- -$9.26
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on February 23?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90
- Potential profit
- $90
- User PnL
- -$9.26
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on February 23?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90
- Potential profit
- $90
- User PnL
- -$9.26
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $58,000 on February 23?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90
- Potential profit
- $90
- User PnL
- -$9.26
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $2.89
- Potential payout
- $68
- Potential profit
- $65.11
- Multiplier
- 23.53x
- User PnL
- -$10.16
Yes position
US strike on Mexico by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62
- Potential profit
- $62
- User PnL
- -$3.72
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on February 23?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55
- Potential profit
- $55
- User PnL
- -$7.56
Yes position
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $1.58
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $48.43
- Multiplier
- 31.75x
- User PnL
- -$1.51
Yes position
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$1.62
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$1.32
Yes position
Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39.99
- Potential profit
- $39.99
- User PnL
- -$2.12
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.21
- Potential payout
- $35
- Potential profit
- $34.79
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$2.26
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35
- Potential profit
- $35
- User PnL
- -$2.92
Yes position
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.02
- Potential profit
- $30.02
- User PnL
- -$7.37
Yes position
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$0.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $30
- User PnL
- -$0.6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on February 23?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.56
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C or higher on February 26?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $43.87
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on February 26?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $43.87
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on February 26?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.87
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on February 26?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $43.87
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on February 26?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $42.87
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on February 26?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $41.99
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C on February 26?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $41.42
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.43
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 74°F or higher on February 27?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $25.42
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on February 26?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21.07
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on February 26?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21.07
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C or below on February 26?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21.07
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on February 26?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21.07
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on February 26?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21.07
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C or higher on February 26?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21.07
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on February 26?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21.07
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on February 26?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.07
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 62-63°F on February 27?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.54
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 66-67°F on February 27?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.54
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 64-65°F on February 27?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.54
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 74°F or higher on February 27?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.54
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 68-69°F on February 27?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.54
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on February 27?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.54
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?Yes 3.7% 4.08 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 5.8% 0.12 shares
- Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?Yes 3.2% 0.2 shares
- Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?Yes 2.9% 4.18 shares
- Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 4% 4.99 shares
- Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 6.4% 5 shares
- Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?Yes 5.5% 9.4 shares
- Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 3.5% 5 shares
- Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?Yes 5.7% 5 shares
- Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 3.4% 4.11 shares
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.4% 5 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes 8.6% 10 shares