Polymarket Trader

CarlLaGarfield

0xa182d8fddd9394baab863c3fea0b8f0de0b8ef82

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $14.39
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Ends Apr 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.01
Potential profit: $1.01
User PnL: -$0.31

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the UEFA Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $1
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer in the EPL?

Ends May 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $1
User PnL: -$0.38

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2024 Carabao Cup?

Ends Mar 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1
Potential profit: $1
User PnL: -$0.11

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Bitcoin above $103,000 on January 24?

Ends Jan 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.8

Yes position

Will Aston Villa win on 2025-01-15?

Ends Jan 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.24

No position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.22

Yes position

Will Trump say "god" 4+ times during his inauguration speech?

Ends Feb 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.18

No position

Will Palisades wildfire spread to Santa Monica by Sunday?

Ends Jan 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.95

No position

Will Tottenham win on 2025-01-19?

Ends Jan 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.64

No position

Will Fulham win on 2025-01-14?

Ends Jan 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

Yes position

US national XRP reserve in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.47

No position

Will Newcastle United finish in the top 4 of EPL?

Ends May 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.47

Yes position

Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-01-19?

Ends Jan 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

Yes position

Will Newcastle win on 2025-01-15?

Ends Jan 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.39

Yes position

Will Chelsea win on 2025-01-20?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.37

Yes position

Will Arsenal win on 2025-01-15?

Ends Jan 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.37

Yes position

Will Manchester City win on 2025-01-19?

Ends Jan 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

No position

Will Leicester win on 2025-01-15?

Ends Jan 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.32

Yes position

Will Manchester United win on 2025-01-16?

Ends Jan 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.32

Yes position

Bitcoin above $95,000 on January 17?

Ends Jan 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

Yes position

Arsenal wins the Premier League?

Ends May 25, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

Trump inauguration gets more viewers than Biden's?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.19

Yes position

Will Atletico Madrid win La Liga?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Will Trump say "Kamala" during his inauguration speech?

Ends Feb 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by January 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US national XRP reserve in 2025?

Yes 15% 1 shares
Bitcoin above $103,000 on January 24?

Yes 73% 2.71 shares
Will Sporting CP beat RB Leipzig?

Yes 45% 2.22 shares
Will Stade Brestois beat Shakhtar Donetsk?

Yes 38% 2.63 shares
Bitcoin above $103,000 on January 24?

Yes 73% 3.79 shares
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Yes 25% 2.22 shares
Will Trump pardon 1,500 or more Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days?

Yes 8% 1 shares
Will Arsenal win the UEFA Champions League?

Yes 13% 6.14 shares
Will Arsenal win the 2024 Carabao Cup?

Yes 11.7% 9 shares
Bitcoin above $103,000 on January 24?

Yes 72% 1 shares
Will Newcastle United finish in the top 4 of EPL?

No 67% 0.69 shares
Bitcoin above $103,000 on January 24?

Yes 64% 1.75 shares