Polymarket Trader

hog11

0xa18d6c0786e00a1480181e9253e3ad23ebf3f38c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $208.42
Realized PnL: $34.34K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.19K
Potential profit: $5.19K
User PnL: -$4.05K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.42K
Potential profit: $2.42K
User PnL: -$1.89K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.66K
Potential profit: $1.66K
User PnL: -$1.56K

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.43K
Potential profit: $1.43K
User PnL: -$1.01K

No position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.34K
Potential profit: $1.34K
User PnL: -$1.2K

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $756.23
Potential profit: $756.23
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 10AM ET

Ends Sep 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $716.81
Potential profit: $716.81
User PnL: -$489.37

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $77.81
Potential payout: $625
Potential profit: $547.19
Multiplier: 8.03x
User PnL: -$22.19

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21.6%
Current value: $130.61
Potential payout: $606.06
Potential profit: $475.45
Multiplier: 4.64x
User PnL: $30.61

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 8PM ET

Ends Aug 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $243.42
Potential profit: $243.42
User PnL: -$219.03

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $202.02
Potential profit: $202.02
User PnL: -$200

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on August 14?

Ends Aug 14, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $191.98
Potential profit: $191.98
User PnL: -$186.03

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 8AM ET

Ends Aug 27, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $155.72
Potential profit: $155.72
User PnL: -$140

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET

Ends Sep 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $140.66
Potential profit: $140.66
User PnL: -$111.72

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8AM ET

Ends Sep 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $140.47
Potential profit: $140.47
User PnL: -$115

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 3AM ET

Ends Aug 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $131.17
Potential profit: $131.17
User PnL: -$56

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET

Ends Sep 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $120
Potential profit: $120
User PnL: -$84

Canada position

Men's Final - Canada vs. USA

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $112.16
Potential profit: $112.16
User PnL: -$60

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 3AM ET

Ends Sep 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 6AM ET

Ends Sep 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.44
Potential profit: $99.44
User PnL: -$85

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7AM ET

Ends Sep 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $84.36
Potential profit: $84.36
User PnL: -$70

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 10AM ET

Ends Aug 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $77.75
Potential profit: $77.75
User PnL: -$55.98

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 12AM ET

Ends Sep 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.3
Potential profit: $51.3
User PnL: -$20

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 3AM ET

Ends Sep 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$12.2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.68K

Yes position

Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.01K

No position

Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.85K

Yes position

Will António José Seguro qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.75K

Yes position

Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.73K

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.57K

Yes position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.48K

No position

No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.46K

Yes position

Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.29K

Yes position

Will AC Milan win on 2026-02-13?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08K

No position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $928.75

Yes position

Will André Ventura qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $921.5

Yes position

Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $906.08

No position

US strikes Iran by January 24, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $899.34

Yes position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $808.31

Yes position

Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $5 million?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $784.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $756.45

No position

Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $647.51

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $589.18

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $544.81

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $489.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $481.47

No position

US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $461.46

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26?

No 91% 11,375.29 shares
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26?

No 66% 10,606.06 shares
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 99.9% 1,250 shares
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26?

No 65% 769.23 shares
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 36% 270.27 shares
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 37% 270.27 shares
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 80% 1,250 shares
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 99.3% 2,777.77 shares
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 90% 2,777.78 shares
Will South Korea finish second in Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Yes 12.8% 654.12 shares
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?

No 72% 1,313.89 shares
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?

No 72% 1,388.89 shares