aldiJames

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $117.15
Potential payout: $1.56K
Potential profit: $1.44K
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$67.96

No position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 88.3%
Current value: $839.26
Potential payout: $951
Potential profit: $111.74
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: -$7.13

No position

US strikes Iraq by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $826.73
Potential profit: $826.73
User PnL: -$787.35

Yes position

Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $596
Potential profit: $596
User PnL: -$66.7

No position

Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 37m?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $503.29
Potential profit: $503.29
User PnL: -$479.37

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $27.9
Potential payout: $477
Potential profit: $449.1
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: $2.28

Yes position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $405
Potential payout: $450
Potential profit: $45
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $22.5

No position

Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.19
Potential payout: $385
Potential profit: $384.81
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$75.3

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $24.39
Potential payout: $351
Potential profit: $326.61
Multiplier: 14.39x
User PnL: -$3.69

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $350.33
Potential profit: $350.33
User PnL: -$314.36

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $318
Potential profit: $318
User PnL: -$309.92

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $8.54
Potential payout: $254.99
Potential profit: $246.45
Multiplier: 29.85x
User PnL: -$67.86

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $139
Potential profit: $139
User PnL: -$84.13

No position

US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $127.02
Potential payout: $133
Potential profit: $5.98
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $2.12

Yes position

Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $110
User PnL: -$70.4

Jirí Procházka position

UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $101.93
Potential profit: $101.93
User PnL: -$56.05

Yes position

Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $87.96
Potential payout: $88
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: $39.56

Yes position

Will Rhea Seehorn win Best Actress in a Drama Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $67
Potential profit: $67
User PnL: -$18.31

Yes position

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $8.83
Potential payout: $57
Potential profit: $48.17
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$28.79

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.99
Potential profit: $52.99
User PnL: -$43.98

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.6
Potential profit: $47.6
User PnL: -$45.62

No position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $39.26
Potential payout: $45.39
Potential profit: $6.13
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $7.49

Israel Adesanya position

UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34
Potential profit: $34
User PnL: -$17.43

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.9%
Current value: $26.04
Potential payout: $27.44
Potential profit: $1.4
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $2.44

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $319.77

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $219.82

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $219.45

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200.25

No position

Netanyahu out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $176.29

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $165.52

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $157.71

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $152.29

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $141.03

No position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $138.29

No position

Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m?

Ends Dec 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $137.44

No position

US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $136.62

No position

Starmer out by February 28, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $128.78

Yes position

US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.67

No position

US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.54

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Implied probability: 94.3%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $106.84

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.84

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $101.83

No position

Epstein client list released in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.13

Yes position

Maduro out by January 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.56

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.66

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.76

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?