No position
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $1.79
- Potential payout
- $2.22
- Potential profit
- $0.43
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $0.3
Polymarket Trader
franklong
0xa1934c8db0cf7c19bb1449163602c2313c0cfc02
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.57
- Realized PnL
- -$3.46
- Win rate
- 60.9%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 23
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.78
- Potential payout
- $1.78
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.36
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Penguins position
Golden Knights vs. Penguins
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.62
Georgia Southern position
Georgia Southern vs. Appalachian State
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.15
Yes position
Will Solana dip to $120 before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.74
No position
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $460–480 in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24
No position
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.93
Yes position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.84
No position
Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.83
No position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
No position
Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.62
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in January 2026?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Will Solana dip to $110 in December?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
Will xAI have the #2 AI model at the end of December 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
Yes position
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.21
Bengals position
Bengals vs. Bills
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.34
Panthers position
Seahawks vs. Panthers
Ends Dec 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.41
No position
S&P 500 all time high by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.75
Chargers position
Texans vs. Chargers
Ends Dec 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.98
Yes position
Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.04
Steelers position
Steelers vs. Browns
Ends Dec 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.19
Buccaneers position
Buccaneers vs. Dolphins
Ends Dec 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.81
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 November 17-23?
Ends Nov 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.93
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 80% 1.78 shares
- Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?Yes 63% 2.51 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?No 75% 2.69 shares
- Golden Knights vs. PenguinsPenguins 53% 5.58 shares
- GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?Yes 30% 4.03 shares
- Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?No 67% 2.22 shares
- Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?No 64% 1.73 shares
- Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million?Yes 72% 3.01 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in January 2026?Yes 74% 1.86 shares
- Steelers vs. BrownsSteelers 63% 3.48 shares
- Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?Yes 75% 2.72 shares
- Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $460–480 in 2025?No 71% 4.28 shares