Polymarket Trader

0xA1A584060a82130f50C3F00f86F6645BAe18f928-1776561652744

0xa1a584060a82130f50c3f00f86f6645bae18f928

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $133.7
Realized PnL: $633.37
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $884.76
Potential profit: $884.76
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Trump insult MBS by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $541.63
Potential profit: $541.63
User PnL: -$90.89

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $287.88
Potential profit: $287.88
User PnL: -$30

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $233.91
Potential profit: $233.91
User PnL: -$25.01

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $99.02
Potential payout: $208.46
Potential profit: $109.44
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $14.02

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 17.9%
Current value: $33.1
Potential payout: $184.89
Potential profit: $151.8
Multiplier: 5.59x
User PnL: -$16.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $147.07
Potential profit: $147.07
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $101.13
Potential profit: $101.13
User PnL: -$19.66

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$29.47

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $89.29
Potential profit: $89.29
User PnL: -$25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $69.44
Potential profit: $69.44
User PnL: -$25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54.35
Potential profit: $54.35
User PnL: -$25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.3
Potential profit: $46.3
User PnL: -$25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.1
Potential profit: $43.1
User PnL: -$25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $27.78
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$2.8

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $1.58
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $15.08
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$1.42

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.82
Potential profit: $12.82
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $201.6

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $144.25

Yes position

Another Iranian diplomat expelled by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.62

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $44.27

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.58

No position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.94

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $19.43

No position

President Trump to Attend USA Opening Match?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.92

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.57

No position

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5%
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: $12.86

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.33

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.46

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.44

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.27

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.16

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.28

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.16

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.83

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.37

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.94

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.67

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.67

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes 57% 61.4 shares
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 6.7% 506.19 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 67% 7.46 shares
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 9.9% 506.19 shares
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?

Yes 27% 184.89 shares
Spurs vs. Knicks

Spurs 78% 12.82 shares
President Trump to Attend USA Opening Match?

No 88.2% 132.5 shares
President Trump to Attend USA Opening Match?

No 75.5% 132.5 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes 34% 147.06 shares
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

Yes 82% 12.2 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Yes 18% 16.67 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET

Down 58% 43.1 shares