No position
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 71%
- Current value
- $43.31
- Potential payout
- $61
- Potential profit
- $17.69
- Multiplier
- 1.41x
- User PnL
- $12.81
Polymarket Trader
0xa1a6...5571
0xa1a61f4076df817e3bbb759519c20e0daacf5571
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $79.81
- Realized PnL
- -$20.18
- Win rate
- 53.8%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $1.79
- Potential payout
- $21
- Potential profit
- $19.22
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$5.52
No position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $14.64
- Potential payout
- $16
- Potential profit
- $1.36
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $4.9
Yes position
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $1.53
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $12.47
- Multiplier
- 9.13x
- User PnL
- -$1.27
Yes position
Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.01
Yes position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.4%
- Current value
- $6.75
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $1.25
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $5.37
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $0.63
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.45
Yes position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $0.63
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $5.37
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.51
No position
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $4.55
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.45
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $1.08
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $3.93
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.28
No position
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $3
- User PnL
- -$1.83
Yes position
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $0.17
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $2.84
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.98
Yes position
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Multiplier
- 22.47x
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.7%
- Multiplier
- 3.26x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.7%
- Multiplier
- 3.75x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
No position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.6%
- Multiplier
- 6.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
No position
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$5.16
Yes position
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 29%
- Multiplier
- 3.45x
- User PnL
- -$17.08
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?No 85% 5 shares
- Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?Yes 29.7% 5 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes 85.2% 8 shares
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Yes 21% 6 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 56.9% 6 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 43.1% 9 shares
- Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?No 80% 12 shares
- Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Yes 20% 14 shares
- U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?Yes 19% 6 shares
- Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?No 92.5% 6 shares
- Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?No 89.3% 5 shares
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?No 79% 6 shares