Polymarket Trader

0xA1Ae6e25764601Ad685b8Bd3a374c6f419e9e6B2-1765400111007

0xa1ae6e25764601ad685b8bd3a374c6f419e9e6b2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $83.4
Realized PnL: $13.05
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 14
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $65.54
Potential payout: $86.81
Potential profit: $21.27
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $15.54

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $17.86
Potential payout: $40.13
Potential profit: $22.27
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: -$1.4

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.94
Potential profit: $16.94
User PnL: -$5.93

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.04

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.43

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 58%
Multiplier: 1.73x
User PnL: $1.43

Yes position

Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: $0.87

Yes position

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 3.6%
Multiplier: 27.78x
User PnL: $0.28

Yes position

Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?

Ends Oct 24, 2027

Implied probability: 47.5%
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $0.26

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 14.5%
Multiplier: 6.92x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.17

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 11%
Multiplier: 9.13x
User PnL: -$1.82

Yes position

Will Drake feature J. Cole on ICEMAN?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.1

Yes position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 8.4%
Multiplier: 11.98x
User PnL: -$2.7

No position

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6.74

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 9.6% 74.69 shares
Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?

Yes 52% 22.8 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 18.3% 105.88 shares
Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 35% 16.94 shares
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 9% 55.55 shares
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Yes 57% 35.09 shares
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 5% 217.39 shares
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?

Yes 51% 20.5 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 17% 105.88 shares
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

Yes 58% 51.72 shares
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 9% 55.56 shares
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

No 33% 20.42 shares