Under position
Games Total: O/U 3.5
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.89K
- Potential profit
- $29.89K
- User PnL
- -$29.89
Polymarket Trader
0xa1ae...5039
0xa1aecbe9ba6d4a358218486d2f6aaf9810305039
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $1.05K
- Realized PnL
- -$430.08
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 21
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.8%
- Current value
- $1.04K
- Potential payout
- $1.28K
- Potential profit
- $233.26
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $939.87
Yes position
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $120.91
- Potential profit
- $120.91
- User PnL
- -$1.33
Yes position
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.76
- Potential profit
- $38.76
- User PnL
- -$4.4
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.4%
- Current value
- $4.39
- Potential payout
- $21.48
- Potential profit
- $17.09
- Multiplier
- 4.89x
- User PnL
- -$0.98
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.64
- Potential profit
- $19.64
- User PnL
- -$8.88
Yes position
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $11.11
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.26
- Potential profit
- $9.26
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.66
- Potential payout
- $5.66
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $3.77
No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.6
- Potential profit
- $5.6
- User PnL
- -$4.09
Yes position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.97
- Potential profit
- $4.97
- User PnL
- -$1.44
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Golden Knights position
Kings vs. Golden Knights
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.54
No position
Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.25
Yes position
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.15
No position
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.01
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.65
No position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.92
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2%
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- -$4.38
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$5.12
Yes position
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.71
No position
Government shutdown on Saturday?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$8.06
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$8.08
Yes position
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$21.19
Yes position
Will "LA MUDANZA" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$30.83
Yes position
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$33.27
Yes position
Will "BAILE INOLVIDABLE" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$38.17
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 5?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100.76
Hornets position
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$280.64
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes 8% 190.27 shares
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under 0.1% 29,890 shares
- Starmer out by March 31, 2026?No 87% 33.29 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 8.2% 60.98 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 8.2% 60.98 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 8% 62.5 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 8.1% 61.73 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 8.1% 99.36 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 7.9% 12.66 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 7.9% 63.29 shares
- Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 5% 2,118.5 shares
- Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 6% 2,118.5 shares