Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.32K
- Potential profit
- $2.32K
- User PnL
- -$134
Polymarket Trader
Shawata18
0xa1b94b0beb03917ac9c3b2f6a04318f1a25d5e00
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $8.97K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 11AM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.07K
- Potential profit
- $2.07K
- User PnL
- -$604.21
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.99K
- Potential profit
- $1.99K
- User PnL
- -$42.76
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 6AM ET
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.81K
- Potential profit
- $1.81K
- User PnL
- -$342.1
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.73K
- Potential profit
- $1.73K
- User PnL
- -$104
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 2PM ET
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.67K
- User PnL
- -$717.29
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11AM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.61K
- Potential profit
- $1.61K
- User PnL
- -$590.92
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3PM ET
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.52K
- Potential profit
- $1.52K
- User PnL
- -$640.32
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 3AM ET
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.43K
- Potential profit
- $1.43K
- User PnL
- -$494.46
Yes position
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-14?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.37K
- Potential profit
- $1.37K
- User PnL
- -$356.9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.27K
- Potential profit
- $1.27K
- User PnL
- -$576.45
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 4PM ET
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.23K
- Potential profit
- $1.23K
- User PnL
- -$609.33
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $991.87
- Potential profit
- $991.87
- User PnL
- -$179.85
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6AM ET
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $985.77
- Potential profit
- $985.77
- User PnL
- -$493.59
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 12PM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $884.82
- Potential profit
- $884.82
- User PnL
- -$393.9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10AM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $883.72
- Potential profit
- $883.72
- User PnL
- -$380
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 8AM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $876.98
- Potential profit
- $876.98
- User PnL
- -$367.47
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $870.6
- Potential profit
- $870.6
- User PnL
- -$246.58
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $868.31
- Potential profit
- $868.31
- User PnL
- -$374.19
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $852.77
- Potential profit
- $852.77
- User PnL
- -$389
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 11AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $824.78
- Potential profit
- $824.78
- User PnL
- -$338.81
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5AM ET
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $816.91
- Potential profit
- $816.91
- User PnL
- -$328
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 2PM ET
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $768.92
- Potential profit
- $768.92
- User PnL
- -$306.53
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 11PM ET
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $742.48
- Potential profit
- $742.48
- User PnL
- -$366.13
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 12PM ET
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $724.26
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 4PM ET
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $526.01
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9AM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $508.17
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10AM ET
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $476.84
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 10AM ET
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $470.41
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1PM ET
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $468.7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $459.02
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3AM ET
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $417.46
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $406.73
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 11AM ET
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $331.21
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 12PM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $320.51
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 7AM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $312.61
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $311.97
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $311.56
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $308.15
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $306.98
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 10AM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $302.79
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 3PM ET
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $298.57
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $296.76
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 4PM ET
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $294.79
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $294.46
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $284.12
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $269.98
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 6AM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $266.63
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 7:15AM-7:30AM ETDown 48.3% 455.1 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 6:15AM-6:30AM ETUp 4.8% 485.36 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 6:15AM-6:30AM ETUp 41.2% 485.37 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETDown 99% 612 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETDown 48.1% 612 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 3:55AM-4:00AM ETUp 99% 307.85 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 3:55AM-4:00AM ETUp 62% 307.85 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 6:30AM-6:45AM ETUp 45.6% 417.86 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 6:15AM-6:30AM ETDown 34% 126.47 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 6:15AM-6:30AM ETDown 57.4% 436.59 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 6:15AM-6:30AM ETDown 41.5% 436.59 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 6:00AM-6:15AM ETDown 92.5% 204.85 shares