No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80.8%
- Current value
- $1.51K
- Potential payout
- $1.87K
- Potential profit
- $359.52
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $132.95
Polymarket Trader
0xa1be...0f43
0xa1be677bb41fe4c440b0cd7b4552430f44b10f43
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $1.73K
- Realized PnL
- $315.62
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 11.6%
- Current value
- $75.29
- Potential payout
- $651.87
- Potential profit
- $576.58
- Multiplier
- 8.66x
- User PnL
- -$34.22
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $120.65
- Potential payout
- $474.05
- Potential profit
- $353.4
- Multiplier
- 3.93x
- User PnL
- -$8.3
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $19.37
- Potential payout
- $86.08
- Potential profit
- $66.71
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- $3.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $378.56
Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.1%
- Multiplier
- 19.80x
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$63.95
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 5.2% 501.56 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 27.2% 1,185.89 shares
- Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 5% 501.56 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 31?Yes 83% 2,226.84 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No 14% 241.89 shares
- Will Trump visit China by June 30?No 12% 1,099.62 shares
- Will Trump visit China by June 30?No 13% 1,506.94 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 16.8% 651.87 shares