Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $1.58K
- Potential payout
- $1.6K
- Potential profit
- $20
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $208.03
Polymarket Trader
SerDN
@sergioonaveira
0xa1c40362affc9f9b24de05c617c204cc92fef3e2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.01K
- Realized PnL
- $1.71K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 1?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- User PnL
- -$1.88
No position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- User PnL
- -$4.21
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.05K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- User PnL
- -$7.37
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.4%
- Current value
- $954.3
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $46.54
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$25.52
Yes position
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $18.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $981.5
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- -$481.5
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 21?
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 21?
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $59.5
- Potential payout
- $999.96
- Potential profit
- $940.46
- Multiplier
- 16.81x
- User PnL
- $26.73
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $367.35
- Potential payout
- $790
- Potential profit
- $422.65
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- $47.48
No position
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 63%
- Current value
- $378.24
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $221.76
- Multiplier
- 1.59x
- User PnL
- -$149.51
Yes position
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $2.06
- Potential payout
- $516
- Potential profit
- $513.94
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.58
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $1.02
- Potential payout
- $512.01
- Potential profit
- $510.99
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.1%
- Current value
- $130.25
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $369.75
- Multiplier
- 3.84x
- User PnL
- -$2.25
No position
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.1%
- Current value
- $469.85
- Potential payout
- $499.57
- Potential profit
- $29.72
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$9.53
No position
Will Germany advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $2.19
- Potential payout
- $397.8
- Potential profit
- $395.61
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$5.37
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on March 9?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $51
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $149
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$11
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on March 4?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$3.4
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $144.26
- Potential profit
- $144.26
- User PnL
- -$10.1
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on March 9?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1.2
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on March 10?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1.2
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on March 9?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$0.3
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 9?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Multiplier
- 111.11x
- User PnL
- $582.53
No position
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $481
No position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $190
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $111.76
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 26?
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $74.19
Y
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $68.88
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 7AM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.6
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 8AM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.5
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 27?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.7
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 71%
- Multiplier
- 1.41x
- User PnL
- $14.63
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
No position
Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.11
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 9AM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8
Yes position
Azuro airdrop by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.6
No position
Will USA advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.2%
- Multiplier
- 46.51x
- User PnL
- $5.96
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 18-24?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.5
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 5?
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.4
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.15
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $2.88
No position
Will Mexico advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.61
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 19?No 0.2% 160 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 29% 5 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 45% 10 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 45% 200 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 43% 125 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 40% 10 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 40% 250 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 40% 250 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 40% 250 shares
- Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No 92.4% 0.36 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 37% 14.49 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 38% 14 shares