Polymarket Trader

0xa1cb98aB339D38fe0F8de14E5dae7C2f5Cc7aF17-1774727888985

0xa1cb98ab339d38fe0f8de14e5dae7c2f5cc7af17

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $8
Realized PnL: $1.27K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $2.66
Potential payout: $62.53
Potential profit: $59.87
Multiplier: 23.53x
User PnL: -$2.78

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $1.22
Potential payout: $51.85
Potential profit: $50.63
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: -$1.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $4.05
Potential payout: $47.63
Potential profit: $43.58
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$0.21

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $42.13
Potential profit: $42.07
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$4.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $34.18
Potential profit: $34.16
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.45

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.1
Potential profit: $21.1
User PnL: -$1.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $133.89

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on April 14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on April 25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.06

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.29

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 90-91°F on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.29

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on May 16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 96.5%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $38.92

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.57

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.92

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.76

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.38

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 31°C on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.74

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 20?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 2?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.26

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 18?

Yes 10% 22.5 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 18?

Yes 8% 25.13 shares
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 18?

No 10% 42.13 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 18?

Yes 67.2% 46.95 shares
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 18?

Yes 80.1% 37.53 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 18?

Yes 67.2% 15.65 shares
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 18?

Yes 6.9% 37.54 shares
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 18?

Yes 4.3% 34.18 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 18?

Yes 5% 62.6 shares
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on June 18?

Yes 5% 26.85 shares
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on June 18?

Yes 4% 25 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 17?

Yes 99.3% 50 shares