Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.7%
- Current value
- $244.54
- Potential payout
- $992.06
- Potential profit
- $747.52
- Multiplier
- 4.06x
- User PnL
- -$5.46
Polymarket Trader
danielvorcaro
0xa1d3f237b27b8b224ce41a9a06dbc304c29c4356
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $418.79
- Realized PnL
- $1.09K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $174.24
- Potential payout
- $303.03
- Potential profit
- $128.79
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$25.76
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $180.75
Yes position
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.92
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.74
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.36
Yes position
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.28
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.52
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $57.01
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.8
Yes position
Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the July meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.06
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.24
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $38.24
Yes position
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the June meeting?
Ends Jun 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.34
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.05
Yes position
Will 150-200k jobs be added in February?
Ends Mar 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.6
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.22
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.85
Yes position
Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% or more in January?
Ends Jan 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.93
No position
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.27
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.69
Yes position
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in March?
Ends May 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $24.6
Yes position
Will the US gain between 200-250k jobs in November?
Ends Dec 6, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.41
Yes position
Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the October meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.31
Yes position
Bank of England rate cut in May meeting?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.65
Yes position
Will the US add between 25k and 50k jobs in September?
Ends Oct 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21.6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?No 5.5% 333.33 shares
- Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?No 6% 333.33 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 73% 70 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes 66% 303.03 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 25.2% 992.06 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes 1.4% 500 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 70.6% 138.23 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 70.7% 138.22 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes 10.6% 210 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 2.6% 1,045 shares
- Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?Yes 6.1% 660 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes 15% 69.99 shares