Yes position
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $515.28
- Potential payout
- $3.32K
- Potential profit
- $2.81K
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$146.82
Polymarket Trader
0xA1D6B7c8f2271D153A60d48F5656f6Cc49d4982D-1777574009113
0xa1d6b7c8f2271d153a60d48f5656f6cc49d4982d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $612.59
- Realized PnL
- $1.06K
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.04K
- Potential profit
- $2.04K
- User PnL
- -$90
Yes position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $3.63
- Potential payout
- $1.21K
- Potential profit
- $1.21K
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$2.42
Yes position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $888.11
- Potential profit
- $888.11
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $92
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $708
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$3.36
Yes position
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $1.68
- Potential payout
- $671.71
- Potential profit
- $670.03
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$34.32
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $280
- Potential profit
- $280
- User PnL
- -$17.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.8
- Potential profit
- $9.8
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $477.62
Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $399.76
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $244.82
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$5.71
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10.72
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Multiplier
- 24.69x
- User PnL
- -$44.11
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?Yes 0.5% 8.88 shares
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?Yes 0.4% 3,600 shares
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?Yes 0.7% 3,901.27 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:40PM-2:45PM ETUp 51% 9.8 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:25PM-2:30PM ETUp 1% 100 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:25PM-2:30PM ETUp 2% 50 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:25PM-2:30PM ETUp 4% 50 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:25PM-2:30PM ETUp 7% 50 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:25PM-2:30PM ETUp 33% 30 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:20PM-2:25PM ETDown 3% 40 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:20PM-2:25PM ETDown 26% 10 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:05PM-2:10PM ETUp 2% 50 shares