Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 40%
- Current value
- $89.57
- Potential payout
- $223.92
- Potential profit
- $134.35
- Multiplier
- 2.50x
- User PnL
- -$10.43
Polymarket Trader
Uncsgotmotion
0xa1daaeec64247b566b2a3b69c1fd7a338d122edc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $162.11
- Realized PnL
- $100.14
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $27.62
- Potential payout
- $112.72
- Potential profit
- $85.1
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$22.38
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $6
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $94
- Multiplier
- 16.67x
- User PnL
- -$16.9
Yes position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.36
- Potential payout
- $89.29
- Potential profit
- $88.93
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$49.64
Yes position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 45%
- Current value
- $38.57
- Potential payout
- $85.71
- Potential profit
- $47.14
- Multiplier
- 2.22x
- User PnL
- -$21.43
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.83
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.8
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.55
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.5
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.3
No position
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.04
Yes position
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$17.92
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$18.12
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$18.48
Yes position
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$30.37
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes 86% 178.26 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 37% 329.41 shares
- US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes 69% 178.26 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No 86% 132.36 shares
- Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?Yes 70% 85.71 shares
- Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Yes 56% 89.29 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes 44.7% 223.92 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?No 92% 100.6 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes 37.2% 134.53 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?No 49.7% 100.6 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No 37.8% 132.37 shares
- Will Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026?Yes 44.4% 112.72 shares