Polymarket Trader

ThomasStreet

0xa1dfb14bc7ddcf6342fe6fb107ecfb7ad02d1d2f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $529.86
Realized PnL: $348.07
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 2
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.9K
Potential profit: $1.9K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.59K
Potential profit: $1.59K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$213

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $831.6
Potential profit: $831.6
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 11?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $376.25
Potential profit: $376.25
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $245.66
Potential payout: $353.52
Potential profit: $107.86
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $40.62

No position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$105.57

Yes position

Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $283.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $16.5
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $7.5

No position

Will SpaceX have 11 or more launches in February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $233.83
Potential profit: $233.83
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.7
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $199.3
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Google say "Youtube Shorts" during earnings call?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $118.82
Potential profit: $118.82
User PnL: -$100

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $289.98

No position

Will Claude 5 be released by February 14, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.09

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?

Yes 0.6% 131.4 shares
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?

Yes 92% 300 shares
Will Trump visit China by April 30?

Yes 1.8% 1,000 shares
Will Trump visit China by April 30?

Yes 39% 500 shares
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?

No 35.2% 300 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?

Yes 6.3% 1,588.91 shares
Will SpaceX have 11 or more launches in February?

No 21.4% 233.83 shares
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 2.6% 1,897.61 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Yes 43.2% 345.01 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Yes 12% 831.6 shares
Will Claude 5 be released by February 14, 2026?

No 82% 95.23 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?

Yes 55.3% 345.01 shares