Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $71.41
- Potential payout
- $680.13
- Potential profit
- $608.72
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$30.56
Polymarket Trader
0xa1E4Ee594eB67B53df404E535927ee66237Fbd8F-1774847623083
0xa1e4ee594eb67b53df404e535927ee66237fbd8f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $107.53
- Realized PnL
- $632.02
- Win rate
- 76.5%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 17
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $36.11
- Potential payout
- $555.56
- Potential profit
- $519.44
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$63.89
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $533.34
Justin Gaethje position
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $185.71
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.87
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.45
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.43
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.46
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.23
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.22
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11
No position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.86
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.78
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$99.63
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)Justin Gaethje 99% 238.09 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?Yes 99.9% 111.22 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ETDown 41% 12.2 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ETUp 67% 7.46 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ETUp 98% 8.62 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ETUp 58% 8.62 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?Yes 98.9% 111.22 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?No 4.2% 256.41 shares
- UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)Justin Gaethje 21% 238.1 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?No 3.9% 256.41 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?Yes 7% 550 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?Yes 6% 550 shares