Polymarket Trader

Gaeten-Dugas

0xa1e9ab4d47ce17961795c6250a99e07b7c9d8b44

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $76.33K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Drake be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.68K
Potential profit: $8.68K
User PnL: -$5.33K

Yes position

Will 'The Life of a Showgirl (feat. Sabrina Carpenter)' be the least streamed song on The Life of a Showgirl on Oct 10th?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.36K
Potential profit: $6.36K
User PnL: -$108.92

No position

Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.41K
Potential profit: $1.41K
User PnL: -$702.56

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will any Belarusian bank be disconnected from SWIFT by April 30, 2022?

Ends Apr 30, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 6980858.89x
User PnL: $7.81K

Yes position

Will Truth Social be the #1 Social Networking App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?

Ends Mar 6, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 5274211.23x
User PnL: $6.72K

No position

Will the top song on Spotify Charts hit 45M global streams for the week ending on November 25?

Ends Nov 26, 2021

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 83686895.85x
User PnL: $5.91K

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?

Ends Sep 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.89K

No position

Will The Build Back Better Act pass the House of Representatives by November 19, 2021?

Ends Nov 20, 2021

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 6525908.89x
User PnL: $4.93K

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?

Ends Sep 8, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.5K

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.4K

Harris position

If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?

Ends Oct 27, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.91K

Yes position

Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.81K

Yes position

Will the Russian Ruble (RUB) fall below $0.005 by March 25?

Ends Mar 25, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 2363012.74x
User PnL: $2.58K

Yes position

Will 'The Batman' get 90% or higher Tomatometer Score?

Ends Mar 7, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 6377291.21x
User PnL: $2.55K

Yes position

Will the top song on Spotify Charts hit 40M global streams for the week ending on January 6?

Ends Jan 7, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 8848838.44x
User PnL: $2.51K

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

Ends Aug 19, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.48K

No position

Will there be more than 4 million Ukrainian refugees by March 24?

Ends Mar 24, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.41K

No position

Will any Russian bank be disconnected from SWIFT by April 1?

Ends Apr 1, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 5716019.60x
User PnL: $2.39K

Yes position

Trump margin of victory in New Hampshire Primary 10-12.5%

Ends Jan 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.31K

No position

Will MrBeast's Squid Game video reach 60M views in its first week?

Ends Dec 1, 2021

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 4729504.54x
User PnL: $2.26K

No position

Will Vice President Harris cast 15 or more tie-breaking votes in 2021?

Ends Dec 31, 2021

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 5292965.44x
User PnL: $2.01K

Yes position

Will Squid Game be the #1 Netflix show worldwide on Week 47, 2021 (Nov 22 - Nov 28)?

Ends Nov 29, 2021

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 1017036.05x
User PnL: $1.93K

Yes position

Will US student loan payments resume by May 2, 2022?

Ends May 2, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 855607.02x
User PnL: $1.79K

No position

Will the FDA approve any COVID-19 vaccination for children under 12 by November 1?

Ends Nov 1, 2021

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 4070446.02x
User PnL: $1.66K

No position

Will the Ukrainian Government receive more than $25M in Crypto donations by March 10?

Ends Mar 10, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 6546697.07x
User PnL: $1.54K

Yes position

Will NASA have confirmed more than 4580 existing exoplanets by November 27?

Ends Nov 27, 2021

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 4682992.74x
User PnL: $1.53K

Yes position

Will 'Vikings: Valhalla: Season 1' be the #1 Netflix show worldwide on the week ending March 20?

Ends Mar 22, 2022

Implied probability: 0%
Multiplier: 1306153.79x
User PnL: $1.5K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?

Yes 98.1% 7,047.88 shares
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?

Yes 98.2% 2,349.29 shares
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?

Yes 92% 189.26 shares
Taylor Swift on top two spots of Billboard Hot 100 for Oct 25th?

Yes 24.5% 713.5 shares
Taylor Swift on top two spots of Billboard Hot 100 for Oct 25th?

Yes 23.7% 951.88 shares
Will 'The Life of a Showgirl (feat. Sabrina Carpenter)' be the least streamed song on The Life of a Showgirl on Oct 10th?

Yes 1.7% 6,361.6 shares
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?

No 87% 300 shares
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?

Yes 70% 16.43 shares
US government shutdown by October 1?

Yes 38.3% 1,035.93 shares
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?

Yes 64.5% 819.18 shares
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?

Yes 73% 261.4 shares
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?

Yes 69% 593.01 shares