Anthropic position
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $184.01
- Potential payout
- $247
- Potential profit
- $62.99
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $18.52
Polymarket Trader
WilliamJackson9915
0xa1ec38172330813965d1f849c8a7676e270e46ce
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $324.51
- Realized PnL
- $4.48K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $44.49
- Potential payout
- $167.88
- Potential profit
- $123.39
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$34.42
No position
Anduril IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $85.98
- Potential payout
- $95
- Potential profit
- $9.03
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $7.13
Yes position
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $9.86
- Potential payout
- $73
- Potential profit
- $63.14
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$11.31
Yes position
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.18
- Potential payout
- $72
- Potential profit
- $71.82
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.83
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will White House post 160-179 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $823.04
Yes position
Will Medline's market cap be between $45B and $55B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $622.3
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $426.79
Down position
XRP Up or Down - February 11, 9PM ET
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $423.5
Yes position
Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 21.7%
- Multiplier
- 4.62x
- User PnL
- $319.03
Yes position
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2025-12-19?
Ends Dec 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $234
Yes position
Will Leavitt say "Regime" 10+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $184.41
Yes position
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.8%
- Multiplier
- 3.05x
- User PnL
- $179.69
Up position
XRP Up or Down - February 16, 11PM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $163
No position
Will Trump say "Hell" during meeting with Netanyahu?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $148.76
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $139
No position
Will Verizon/Visible run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103.62
No position
Will "Trump" be said at the Super Bowl?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.66
No position
Will 0xak_ win the competition?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.96
Yes position
Will RV There Yet? win Sit Back and Relax in the 2025 Steam Awards?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.54
No position
Will Luís Marques Mendes win between 16% and 18% of votes in the first round?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.01
Under position
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 2.5
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.7
Yes position
Will Terri Pickens win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.63
Yes position
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 22, 2026?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.8
Yes position
Will OpenAI announce a watch in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $51.1
No position
Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 5–10 years in prison?
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.14
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 6, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $45.34
No position
Will Iran strike Syria in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.66
Yes position
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- $37.03
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Betmoar FDV above $20M one day after launch?No 27% 254 shares
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes 25% 70 shares
- US bank failure by December 31?No 41% 13 shares
- US bank failure by December 31?No 41% 1,306 shares
- Anduril IPO before 2027?No 91% 426 shares
- US bank failure by December 31?No 42% 1,319 shares
- Betmoar FDV above $20M one day after launch?No 26% 86 shares
- Anduril IPO before 2027?No 83% 521 shares
- Betmoar FDV above $20M one day after launch?No 25% 340 shares
- Will Iran strike Mina Al-Ahmadi Refinery by April 30?No 75% 29 shares
- Cambria FDV above $30M one day after launch?No 76% 152 shares
- Cambria FDV above $30M one day after launch?No 76% 779 shares