Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.8%
- Current value
- $79.61
- Potential payout
- $403.1
- Potential profit
- $323.49
- Multiplier
- 5.06x
- User PnL
- $9.52
Polymarket Trader
0xa1F535b26caA9cd0f490dcCB95aFE5888cC678a8-1776532653685
0xa1f535b26caa9cd0f490dccb95afe5888cc678a8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $135.43
- Realized PnL
- $428.71
- Win rate
- 85%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 20
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $399.77
- Potential profit
- $399.77
- User PnL
- -$281.56
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.8%
- Current value
- $16.67
- Potential payout
- $246.91
- Potential profit
- $230.25
- Multiplier
- 14.81x
- User PnL
- -$3.33
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.9%
- Current value
- $25.18
- Potential payout
- $181.82
- Potential profit
- $156.64
- Multiplier
- 7.22x
- User PnL
- -$4.82
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $156.25
- Potential profit
- $156.25
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $13.97
- Potential payout
- $103.45
- Potential profit
- $89.48
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$16.03
Yes position
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60.5
- Potential profit
- $60.5
- User PnL
- -$38.72
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $60
- User PnL
- -$15
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 0 Arsenal FC?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $55.56
- User PnL
- -$5
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 0 Arsenal FC?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.67
- Potential profit
- $41.67
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 29?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.13
- Potential profit
- $35.13
- User PnL
- -$30
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.74
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.95
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.92
Yes position
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.31
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.59
Yes position
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.67
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.65
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.46
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on April 25?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.94
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.56
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 25?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.31
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.71
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.7
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $12.86
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $6.49
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.33
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 29?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.5
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 29?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$27.04
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 29?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$29.93
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?Yes 64% 60.5 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 18.4% 172 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 85% 85.71 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 17.1% 409.36 shares
- Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes 57% 35.09 shares
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?Yes 25% 60 shares
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 0 Arsenal FC?Yes 9% 55.56 shares
- Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 0 Arsenal FC?Yes 12% 41.67 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 16?No 70.4% 399.77 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on May 15?No 99.8% 229.03 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on May 15?No 87.3% 229.03 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 8.1% 246.91 shares