Yes position
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.84M
- Potential profit
- $1.84M
- User PnL
- -$1.32M
Polymarket Trader
adfds
0xa21e37ac5ec283f46a2c904151a70318c226d3a8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $15
- Realized PnL
- $154.5K
- Win rate
- 73.7%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
GOP wins popular vote by 0-1%?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100K
- Potential profit
- $100K
- User PnL
- -$10.9K
No position
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.03K
- Potential profit
- $9.03K
- User PnL
- -$6.62K
Yes position
Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) between $10-15b one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $220.61
- Potential profit
- $220.61
- User PnL
- -$10.77
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.13
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?
Ends Sep 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.08K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?
Ends Nov 7, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.86K
Trump position
Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.13K
Kamala position
Favorite to win on Polymarket week after debate?
Ends Sep 17, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.11K
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.23K
Yes position
Eigenlayer market cap (FDV) <$10b one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.59K
Yes position
Will Trump say "Crypto" 5+ times during the X space?
Ends Sep 16, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.45K
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?
Ends Sep 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.5K
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting?
Ends Nov 7, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.98K
No position
Will Lando Norris win the United States Grand Prix?
Ends Oct 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.57K
No position
Will Max Verstappen win the United States Grand Prix?
Ends Oct 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $995.53
No position
No Eigenlayer token launch in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $356.43
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?
Ends Nov 7, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $295.54
Yes position
Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?
Ends Dec 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $202.99
No position
Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?
Ends Dec 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$579.59
Yes position
Will Trump say "Reserve" during the X space?
Ends Sep 16, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.12K
Kamala position
Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.29K
Yes position
Will Trump say "Bitcoin" 5+ times during the X space?
Ends Sep 16, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.51K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting?
Ends Nov 7, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$56.35K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes 97.3% 5 shares
- Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes 73.3% 49,906.43 shares
- Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes 73.8% 495 shares
- Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes 73% 2,768.34 shares
- GOP wins popular vote by 0-1%?Yes 10.9% 4,256.2 shares
- Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes 72.9% 1,499.4 shares
- Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes 72.9% 19,233.65 shares
- Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes 37.1% 199,999.97 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?No 73.3% 7,033 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?No 73.2% 740.16 shares
- Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes 72.7% 9,072.48 shares
- Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes 71.4% 638.22 shares