Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.9%
- Current value
- $249.68
- Potential payout
- $642.67
- Potential profit
- $392.99
- Multiplier
- 2.57x
- User PnL
- -$0.32
Polymarket Trader
0xA22bA9ab6cBB26D260e1803Dc02F8b717C5c0673-1781016956760
0xa22ba9ab6cbb26d260e1803dc02f8b717c5c0673
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $780.97
- Realized PnL
- $626.73
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Intel (INTC) Q2 adjusted gross margin (non-GAAP) 38%-40%?
Ends Jul 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $211.34
- Potential payout
- $612.77
- Potential profit
- $401.42
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- $11.34
Yes position
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 30%
- Current value
- $71.69
- Potential payout
- $238.97
- Potential profit
- $167.28
- Multiplier
- 3.33x
- User PnL
- -$5.31
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $221.09
- Potential profit
- $221.09
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.3%
- Current value
- $92.59
- Potential payout
- $214.07
- Potential profit
- $121.49
- Multiplier
- 2.31x
- User PnL
- -$4.41
Y
Yes position
Will England be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $90.98
- Potential payout
- $204.44
- Potential profit
- $113.47
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- -$1.02
No position
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 35%
- Current value
- $64.7
- Potential payout
- $184.84
- Potential profit
- $120.15
- Multiplier
- 2.86x
- User PnL
- $16.7
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $159.79
- Potential profit
- $159.79
- User PnL
- -$76.7
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $133.33
- Potential profit
- $133.33
- User PnL
- -$76
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$30
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $111.06
- Potential profit
- $111.06
- User PnL
- -$45
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $78.17
- Potential profit
- $78.17
- User PnL
- -$42.21
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $69.81
- Potential profit
- $69.81
- User PnL
- -$30
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $67.1
- Potential profit
- $67.1
- User PnL
- -$28.61
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $66.67
- Potential profit
- $66.67
- User PnL
- -$18
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.02
- Potential profit
- $49.02
- User PnL
- -$25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.71
- Potential profit
- $45.71
- User PnL
- -$16
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37.25
- Potential profit
- $37.25
- User PnL
- -$19
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36.17
- Potential profit
- $36.17
- User PnL
- -$1.09
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.48
- Potential profit
- $35.48
- User PnL
- -$11
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.78
- Potential profit
- $27.78
- User PnL
- -$10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.64
- Potential profit
- $25.64
- User PnL
- -$10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.39
- Potential profit
- $24.39
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.54
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.25
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.83
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.77
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.67
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.31
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.57
No position
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $18.11
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.78
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.28
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.17
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.51
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.42
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.48
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.61
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.87
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.42
No position
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.41
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.88
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ETUp 57% 133.33 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ETUp 58% 126.23 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ETUp 47.5% 126.24 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ETDown 65% 92.31 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ETDown 62% 96.77 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ETDown 58% 101.97 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ETDown 24% 125 shares
- Intel (INTC) Q2 adjusted gross margin (non-GAAP) 38%-40%?Yes 32.6% 612.77 shares
- Will England be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?Yes 45% 204.44 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 38.9% 642.67 shares
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 14, 2026?No 26% 184.84 shares
- Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?Yes 45.3% 214.07 shares